Posts

• Credit Crunches from Occasionally Binding Bank Borrowing Constraints

  Staff Working Paper 2017-57 Tom D. Holden, Paul Levine, Jonathan Swarbrick

  We present a model in which banks and other financial intermediaries face both occasionally binding borrowing constraints and costs of equity issuance. Near the steady state, these intermediaries can raise equity finance at no cost through retained earnings.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Credit and credit aggregates, Economic models, Financial markets JEL Code(s): E, E2, E22, E3, E32, E5, E51, G, G2

• Recent Evolution of Canada’s Credit-to-GDP Gap: Measurement and Interpretation

  Staff Analytical Note 2017-25 Timothy Grieder, Dylan Hogg, Thibaut Duprey

  Over the past several years, the Bank for International Settlements has noted that Canada’s credit-to-GDP gap has widened and is above thresholds indicating future banking stress.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Credit and credit aggregates, Financial stability, Monetary and financial indicators, Recent economic and financial developments, Sectoral balance sheet JEL Code(s): D, D1, E, E3, E32, G, G0, G01, G1, G2, G21, G3, G30

• A Barometer of Canadian Financial System Vulnerabilities

  Staff Analytical Note 2017-24 Thibaut Duprey, Tom Roberts

  This note presents a composite indicator of Canadian financial system vulnerabilities—the Vulnerabilities Barometer. It aims to complement the Bank of Canada’s vulnerabilities assessment by adding a quantitative and synthesized perspective to the more granular (distributional) analysis presented in the Financial System Review.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial stability, Monetary and financial indicators JEL Code(s): C, C1, C14, C4, C40, D, D1, D14, E, E3, E32, E6, E66, F, F0, F01, G, G0, G01, G1, G15, G2, G21, H, H6, H63
• December 14, 2017

  Three Things Keeping Me Awake at Night

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Canadian Club Toronto Toronto, Ontario

  Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses his long-term economic preoccupations now that the Canadian economy has nearly completed its journey home.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Digital currencies and fintech, Financial stability, Housing, Monetary policy, Payment clearing and settlement systems, Potential output
• December 14, 2017

  Economy making solid progress, but more work to be done, Bank of Canada Governor Poloz says

  Media Relations Toronto, Ontario

  The Canadian economy has made excellent progress during 2017, but there is still important work to be done on several longer-term issues, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz said today.

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
• December 13, 2017

  Discontinuation of weekly statistical reporting via Market Trade Reporting System

  The Government of Canada and the Bank of Canada announced today that, starting in January 2018, Government Securities Distributors (GSDs) will no longer be required to submit weekly statistical reports via the Market Trade Reporting System (MTRS) operated by the Bank of Canada.

  Content Type(s): Press, Market notices

• Bitcoin Awareness and Usage in Canada

  Staff Working Paper 2017-56 Christopher Henry, Kim Huynh, Gradon Nicholls

  There has been tremendous discussion of Bitcoin, digital currencies and FinTech. However, there is limited empirical evidence of Bitcoin’s adoption and usage. We propose a methodology to collect a nationally representative sample using the Bitcoin Omnibus Survey (BTCOS) to track the ubiquity and usage of Bitcoin in Canada.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Bank notes, Digital currencies and fintech, Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C1, C12, E, E4

• Risk-Neutral Moment-Based Estimation of Affine Option Pricing Models

  Staff Working Paper 2017-55 Bruno Feunou, Cédric Okou

  This paper provides a novel methodology for estimating option pricing models based on risk-neutral moments. We synthesize the distribution extracted from a panel of option prices and exploit linear relationships between risk-neutral cumulants and latent factors within the continuous time affine stochastic volatility framework.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Asset pricing, Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12

• What Drives Episodes of Settlement Fails in the Government of Canada Bond Market?

  Staff Working Paper 2017-54 Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, James Pinnington, Adrian Walton

  We study settlement fails for trades in the Government of Canada bond market. We find that settlement fails do not occur independently. Using a novel and comprehensive dataset, we examine three drivers of fails.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial markets, Market structure and pricing, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): E, E4, G, G1, G2, G21, L, L1

• Do Liquidity Proxies Measure Liquidity in Canadian Bond Markets?

  Staff Analytical Note 2017-23 Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, Jeffrey Gao, Jabir Sandhu, Kobe Wu

  This analytical note evaluates the reliability of proxies for measuring liquidity in Canadian bond markets. We find that price-impact and bid-ask proxies paint a similar picture of evolving liquidity conditions to that obtained from richer measures of liquidity for benchmark Government of Canada bonds.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Debt management, Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G14, G2, G23, G3, G32