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Early Warning of Financial Stress Events: A Credit-Regime-Switching Approach

Staff working paper 2016-21 Fuchun Li, Hongyu Xiao
We propose an early warning model for predicting the likelihood of a financial stress event for a given future time, and examine whether credit plays an important role in the model as a non-linear propagator of shocks.

Hongyu Xiao

Hongyu is a Senior Economist in the Currency Department/Economic Research and Analysis at the Bank of Canada.
April 26, 2016

Canada-US Securities Summit - Press Conference (Audio)

A New Balance Point: Global Trade, Productivity and Economic Growth - Stephen S. Poloz, the Governor of the Bank of Canada, speaks at the Canada-US Securities Summit (09:50 (ET) approx.)

April 26, 2016

Canada-US Securities Summit - Press Conference (Video)

A New Balance Point: Global Trade, Productivity and Economic Growth - Stephen S. Poloz, the Governor of the Bank of Canada, speaks at the Canada-US Securities Summit (09:50 (ET) approx.)

April 26, 2016

Canada-US Securities Summit - Speech (Video)

A New Balance Point: Global Trade, Productivity and Economic Growth - Stephen S. Poloz, the Governor of the Bank of Canada, speaks at the Canada-US Securities Summit (08:55 (ET) approx.)

April 26, 2016

Canada-US Securities Summit - Speech (Audio)

A New Balance Point: Global Trade, Productivity and Economic Growth - Stephen S. Poloz, the Governor of the Bank of Canada, speaks at the Canada-US Securities Summit (08:55 (ET) approx.)

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