The Macroeconomic Effects of Portfolio Equity Inflows Staff working paper 2023-31 Nick Sander I provide evidence that portfolio equity inflows can have expansionary effects on GDP and inflation if not offset by monetary policy. I use a shift-share instrument to estimate equity inflows based on plausibly exogenous timing of inflows into mutual funds with heterogeneous country portfolios. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, International financial markets, International topics, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, F, F3, F32, F4, F44 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Structural challenges, International trade, finance and competitiveness
June 9, 2023 CDOR Transition – Implications for transactions as stage 1 ends and stage 2 begins The first stage of CARR’s two-staged transition plan will be completed on June 30, 2023. Market participants are expected to have transitioned all new derivative (bilateral, cleared and exchange traded) and securities transactions to CORRA benchmarks, with limited exceptions, after June 30, 2023. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
Understanding Inflation Dynamics: The Role of Government Expenditures Staff working paper 2023-30 Chang Liu, Yinxi Xie We study the impact government expenditure has on inflation. We find that changes in government expenditure account for a substantial portion of inflation variations. We also find that inflation and inflation expectations respond negatively to fiscal spending shocks, reaffirming the supply-side channel through which inflation responds to fiscal expansions. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Fiscal policy, Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): E, E3, E6, E62, E63 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures
June 8, 2023 Economic progress report: Are we entering a new era of higher interest rates? Remarks Paul Beaudry Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce Victoria, British Columbia Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry discusses the latest interest rate decision and suggests reasons why longer-term interest rates could remain higher than they were before the pandemic. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Housing, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments, Service sector Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
June 8, 2023 Adjusting to higher interest rates Speech summary Paul Beaudry Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce Victoria, British Columbia Speaking a day after we raised interest rates, Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry talks about what Governing Council considered in its decision. He also suggests reasons why long-term interest rates could remain higher than they were before the COVID-19 pandemic. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Housing, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments, Service sector Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation
June 8, 2023 The Canadian Press Paul Beaudry, Deputy Governor of the Bank of CanadaInterview with The Canadian Press Content Type(s): Press, Media activities
June 7, 2023 Bank of Canada raises policy rate 25 basis points, continues quantitative tightening Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today increased its target for the overnight rate to 4¾%, with the Bank Rate at 5% and the deposit rate at 4¾%. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases