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October 2, 2020

CORRA Advisory Group: Terms of Reference

As per the Bank of Canada methodology for calculating CORRA, the CORRA Advisory Group (CAG) has been established to advise the Bank’s CORRA Oversight Committee on any potential adjustments to the CORRA methodology, stemming from changes in repo market functioning and from any emerging methodology issues, as well as on any changes undertaken as part of regular methodology reviews.

Characterizing the Canadian Financial Cycle with Frequency Filtering Approaches

Staff analytical note 2018-34 Andrew Lee-Poy
In this note, I use two multivariate frequency filtering approaches to characterize the Canadian financial cycle by capturing fluctuations in the underlying variables with respect to a long-term trend. The first approach is a dynamically weighted composite, and the second is a stochastic cycle model.
May 10, 2007

A Sound Pension System – Handling Risk Appropriately

Remarks David Dodge Conference Board of Canada 2007 Pensions Summit Toronto, Ontario
It goes without saying that a sound system of private pensions is important from the perspective of pensioners who rely on a given plan for their retirement income. For firms, a pension plan can help to attract and retain staff, and so the business community also counts on a sound pension system.

Hedge funds and their trading strategies in the Government of Canada bond market

Sparks at Bank article Andreas Uthemann, Adrian Walton
Hedge funds are active in Canadian government bond markets and help improve market efficiency. But their trading strategies are not well understood. We offer insights into the range of strategies hedge funds use beyond the more commonly known cash-futures basis trade. We also explore the concentration of trading activity among a few large funds.
December 8, 2022

Economic progress report: More transparency in uncertain times

Remarks Sharon Kozicki Urban Development Institute of Quebec Montréal, Quebec
Speaking a day after the Bank of Canada’s latest interest rate decision, Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki discusses the current state of the economy and talks about how the Bank is improving both its use of data and the way we communicate with Canadians.

The Dynamic Canadian Debt Strategy Model

Technical report No. 127 Nicolas Audet, Joe Ning, Adam Epp, Jeffrey Gao
We present a dynamic debt strategy model framework designed to assist sovereign debt portfolio managers in choosing an optimal debt issuance strategy. The main innovation of this framework is the introduction of dynamic issuance strategies, which allow issuance decisions to vary over time based on the model’s simulated state variables.
August 16, 2012

Global Risk Premiums and the Transmission of Monetary Policy

An important channel in the transmission of monetary policy is the relationship between the short-term policy rate and long-term interest rates. Using a new term-structure model, the authors show that the variation in long-term interest rates over time consists of two components: one representing investor expectations of future policy rates, and another reflecting a term-structure risk premium that compensates investors for holding a risky asset. The time variation in the term-structure risk premium is countercyclical and largely determined by global macroeconomic conditions. As a result, long-term rates are pushed up during recessions and down during times of expansion. This is an important phenomenon that central banks need to take into account when using short-term rates as a policy tool.
Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, F, F3, F31, G, G1, G12, G15
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