April 25, 2006 Bank of Canada raises overnight rate target by 1/4 percentage point to 4 per cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 4 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
Which Model to Forecast the Target Rate? Staff working paper 2017-60 Bruno Feunou, Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, Jianjian Jin Specifications of the Federal Reserve target rate that have more realistic features mitigate in-sample over-fitting and are favored in the data. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Real economy and forecasting
April 29, 2026 Monetary Policy Report—April 2026—In focus— The war in the Middle East is affecting the Canadian economy in several ways. Inflation will be higher in the near term, but the magnitude and persistence of the increase is uncertain. The net impact on growth is expected to be small.
August 25, 2018 The Fourth Industrial Revolution and Central Banking Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Jackson Hole, Wyoming Governor Poloz talks about the economic benefits expected from disruptive digital technologies and the implications for monetary policy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial stability, Fintech, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation
Optimal Monetary Policy According to HANK Staff working paper 2021-55 Sushant Acharya, Edouard Challe, Keshav Dogra We study optimal monetary policy in an analytically tractable Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian model. In the model, the central bank has an incentive to reduce consumption inequality in addition to keeping economic activity at its efficient level and inflation stable. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E2, E21, E3, E30, E5, E52, E6, E62, E63 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Monetary policy tools and implementation
January 15, 2024 Business Outlook Survey—Fourth Quarter of 2023 Results from the Business Outlook Survey and the Business Leaders’ Pulse show that with high interest rates and soft demand, firms’ sales growth has slowed over the past 12 months. Firms are less optimistic about current business conditions than they were last quarter, but they expect their sales growth to stabilize in the coming year. With competition returning and demand remaining soft, businesses’ pricing behaviour is slowly returning to normal. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
October 15, 2007 The Global Foreign Exchange Market: Growth and Transformation Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2007 William Barker Barker examines changes in the foreign exchange market, which is in a period of transition. Since the mid-1990s, three closely inter-related and mutually reinforcing factors–electronic trading platforms, a changing mix of market participants, and computer-driven algorithmic trading strategies–have been accelerating market growth and are creating a profound structural transformation. As the balance of market participation shifts between bank and non-bank accounts, large and small participants, and domestic and global players, the market is adopting some of the characteristics of an "exchange" model and is arguably becoming more liquid and operationally efficient. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
Occasionally Binding Constraints in Large Models: A Review of Solution Methods Staff discussion paper 2021-5 Jonathan Swarbrick Solving macroeconomic models is difficult. One challenge is the occasionally binding constraint of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates. This paper reviews various ways to solve models that include this feature. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C6 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission
Extreme Weather and Low-Income Household Finance: Evidence from Payday Loans Staff working paper 2024-1 Shihan Xie, Victoria Wenxin Xie, Xu Zhang This paper explores the impact of extreme weather exposures on the financial outcomes of low-income households. Our findings highlight the heightened financial vulnerability of low-income households to environmental shocks and underscore the need for targeted policies. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): G, G5, Q, Q5, Q54 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Household and business credit, Structural challenges, Climate change
February 16, 2022 Expecting the unexpected: Central bank decision making in turbulent times Remarks (delivered virtually) Timothy Lane School of Public Policy, University of Calgary Calgary, Alberta Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Tim Lane discusses how the Bank responds to uncertainty in turbulent times. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework