August 11, 1996 Real short-term interest rates and expected inflation: Measurement and interpretation Bank of Canada Review - Summer 1996 Nicholas Ricketts This article compares different measures of real short-term interest rates for Canada over the period from 1956 to 1995. A new measure for the expected real interest rate is constructed using a proxy for inflation expectations that is based on the properties of past inflation. The history of inflation in Canada suggests that the characteristics of inflation have changed considerably over time. Past inflation can be characterized by three different types of behaviour: an environment in which average inflation is low and shocks to inflation have only temporary effects; an environment of moderate inflation with more persistent disturbances; and an environment of drifting inflation in which shocks have permanent effects on the level of inflation. The proxy for inflation expectations uses a statistical model, called a Markov Switching Model, to take account of changes in the behaviour of inflation over time. It is found that uncertainty about the changing characteristics of inflation behaviour leads to uncertainty about estimates of inflation expectations and thus about measures of real interest rates. Target ranges for keeping inflation low should help reduce the uncertainty about inflation behaviour. The behaviour of inflation and interest rates suggests that the credibility of the Bank of Canada's inflation-control objectives is growing. This should reduce inflation uncertainty and lead to lower nominal interest rates over time. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
January 31, 2017 Building the next generation of economic models is a priority for the Bank of Canada, Governor Poloz says Media Relations Edmonton, Alberta Building the next generation of models that incorporate advances in economic knowledge and technology is a priority for the Bank of Canada, Governor Stephen S. Poloz said today. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
March 6, 2014 Stepping Outside: Analyzing the Canadian Economy from an International Perspective Remarks John Murray Victoria chapters of the Certified Management Accountants, Certified General Accountants and the Financial Management Institute Victoria, British Columbia Deputy Governor John Murray discusses the Canadian economy from an international perspective. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
February 17, 2000 Bank of Canada Announces Appointments in Toronto and Montréal Media Relations To add to its presence in financial markets, the Bank of Canada has announced appointments to two new senior positions. Appointed are H. Ross MacKinnon as Director, Toronto Division and Jean-Pierre Aubry as Director, Montréal Division, both in the Financial Markets Department. In their new positions, Mr. MacKinnon and Mr. Aubry will contribute to the […] Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
March 3, 2022 Getting inflation back to target Speech summary Tiff Macklem CFA Society Toronto Toronto, Ontario Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the Bank of Canada’s decision yesterday to raise its policy interest rate. He explains that after two years of extraordinary stimulus, we are now on a path of rising interest rates. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
October 25, 2017 Bank of Canada maintains overnight rate target at 1 per cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today maintained its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
May 26, 2026 Diagnosing change in the labour market Speech summary Nicolas Vincent Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en analyse des organisations (CIRANO) Ottawa, Ontario External Deputy Governor Nicolas Vincent discusses three trends signaling weakness in Canada’s labour market, exploring whether they reflect temporary factors or deeper structural change. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation
December 1, 2003 The Evolving Financial System and Public Policy Proceedings of a conference held by the Bank of Canada, December 2003 (proceedings volume, available in electronic format only) Content Type(s): Conferences and workshops
April 7, 2003 Focusing on the Long Term Remarks David Dodge Canadian Council of Chief Executives Washington, D.C. It has not been an easy year. All of you have been running companies and making decisions under very uncertain conditions. You have had to deal with corporate and accounting issues. Markets have been volatile. And geopolitical events have shaken confidence. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
March 9, 2016 Bank of Canada maintains overnight rate target at 1/2 per cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 1/4 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases