Total factor productivity growth projection for Canada: A sectoral approach Staff analytical note 2024-12 Dany Brouillette, Tessa Devakos, Raven Wheesk We propose a tool that decomposes TFP growth into sectoral contributions. The analysis incorporates three structural factors—digitalization, aging and climate change policies—and measures their contributions. Overall, we expect that aggregate TFP growth will slow down in the 2020s below both its historical average and the average from the 2010s. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): D, D2, D24, J, J1, J11, O, O3, O33, Q, Q5, Q54 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Climate change, Demographics and labour supply, Digitalization and productivity
March 6, 2024 Monetary Policy Decision Press Conference Opening Statement Opening statement Tiff Macklem Ottawa, Ontario Governor Tiff Macklem discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
November 30, 2018 Research Update - November 2018 This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
February 2, 2012 Understanding Intraday Payment Flows in the Large Value Transfer System Financial System Review - December 2002 Lindsay Cheung Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Review articles
November 28, 2023 Moving money with confidence: Canada’s new regime for retail payments supervision Remarks Ron Morrow Central 1 Momentum Summit Vancouver, British Columbia Executive Director of Supervision Ron Morrow discusses the creation and coming into force of a new supervision regime to oversee retail payments. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial markets, Financial stability, Fintech, Retail payments
August 15, 2013 The Accuracy of Short-Term Forecast Combinations Bank of Canada Review - Summer 2013 Eleonora Granziera, Corinne Luu, Pierre St-Amant This article examines whether combining forecasts of real GDP from different models can improve forecast accuracy and considers which model-combination methods provide the best performance. In line with previous literature, the authors find that combining forecasts generally improves forecast accuracy relative to various benchmarks. Unlike several previous studies, however, they find that, rather than assigning equal weights to each model, unequal weighting based on the past forecast performance of models tends to improve accuracy when forecasts across models are substantially different. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, C53, E, E3, E37
Nowcasting Canadian GDP with Density Combinations Staff discussion paper 2022-12 Tony Chernis, Taylor Webley We present a tool for creating density nowcasts for Canadian real GDP growth. We demonstrate that the combined densities are a reliable and accurate tool for assessing the state of the economy and risks to the outlook. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, C53, E, E3, E7 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting
January 29, 2025 Bank of Canada announces an adjustment to the deposit rate and some changes to terms and conditions for Overnight Reverse Repo Operations The Bank announced it is making an adjustment to the deposit rate. Effective January 30, the deposit rate will be set at a spread of 5bps below the Bank’s policy interest rate. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Overnight reverse repo operations
Payment Coordination and Liquidity Efficiency in the New Canadian Wholesale Payments System Staff discussion paper 2022-3 Francisco Rivadeneyra, Nellie Zhang We study the impact of the Bank of Canada’s choice of settlement mechanism in Lynx on participant behaviors, liquidity usage, payment delays and the overall operational efficiency of the new system. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C5, E, E4, E42, E5, E58 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market functioning, Money and payments, Payment and financial market infrastructures
April 27, 2020 Bank of Canada announces asset manager for Corporate Bond Purchase Program The Bank of Canada announced today that TD Asset Management was selected as the asset manager for its Corporate Bond Purchase Program (CBPP). Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Corporate Bond Purchase Program