Tattle-tails: Gauging downside risks using option prices Staff analytical note 2023-13 Greg Adams, Maksym Tupis Options markets offer unique insights into the changing risks different assets face, which helps us better understand the broader risks to the Canadian economy. We show how option prices help reveal that investors did not anticipate large downside risks to either major Canadian banks or economic growth during the March 2023 financial sector system stress, a period when policy-makers and investors were unsure of what the future held for Canada’s economy. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, E5, E52 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market functioning, Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Household and business credit
May 11, 2017 The Digital Economy Bank of Canada Review - Spring 2017 Chris D'Souza, David Williams Digital technologies—cloud computing, the Internet of Things, advanced robotics, big data analytics, artificial intelligence and machine learning, social media, 3D printing, augmented reality, virtual reality, e-money and distributed ledgers—are transforming the way busi-nesses operate. How does this transformation compare with past industrial revolutions? How are digital technologies changing production systems across industries? Agile firms that use knowledge intensively and have high levels of both organizational and human capital appear set to realize the greatest benefits from digitalization. Finally, what are the implications for productivity, labour markets, inflation and monetary policy as we transition to the digital economy? Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles JEL Code(s): D, D2, D24, L, L1, L10, O, O1, O3, O33
October 8, 2010 Business Outlook Survey - Autumn 2010 Responses to the autumn survey suggest that the economic recovery is progressing. Firms remain positive about the outlook over the next 12 months, but they generally expect growth to be modest, owing in part to a weaker outlook for the U.S. economy. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
April 27, 2026 Annual Report 2025 The 2025 Annual Report includes the financial statements and a message from Governor Tiff Macklem. Content Type(s): Publications, Annual Report
December 2, 2003 Bank of Canada keeps target for the overnight rate at 2 3/4 per cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 2 3/4 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
March 9, 2000 Bank of Canada Governor speaks to the Canadian Society of New York Media Relations New York, New York In a speech today to the Canadian Society of New York, Bank of Canada Governor Gordon Thiessen talked about Canada’s experience with a floating exchange rate and an independent monetary policy, despite close integration with the much larger U.S. economy. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
October 29, 2024 Sharpening our insights In a volatile climate, the Bank must be ready to take swift and decisive action in response to shifting circumstances. This drives us to get better at what we do, especially when it comes to honing the insights that guide our decisions. We will develop and use state-of-the-art models and analytical tools. At the same time, we will foster deeper and more nuanced conversations with individuals and businesses across the country. We are committed to equipping every area of the Bank with the best information, ensuring our actions deliver the outcomes Canadians expect from us.
The US Labour Market: How Much Slack Remains? Staff analytical note 2016-9 Robert Fay, James Ketcheson Despite the US unemployment rate being close to estimates of the non-accelerating-inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU), measures of underemployment remain elevated, which could be an indication of remaining labour market slack. The shares of involuntary part-time workers and long-term unemployment are high relative to the current stage of the business cycle, suggesting available labour inputs are being underutilized. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, J, J2, J21, J23 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply
November 3, 2014 The Legacy of the Financial Crisis: What we know, and what we don’t Remarks Stephen S. Poloz The Canadian Council for Public-Private Partnerships (CCPPP) Toronto, Ontario Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the legacy of the financial crisis, what we know and what we don’t. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
April 21, 2004 Opening Statement before the House of Commons Finance Committee Opening statement David Dodge House of Commons Finance Committee The Canadian economy continues to adjust to developments in the global economy such as stronger world demand, higher commodity prices, and the realignment of world currencies, including the Canadian dollar. Emerging-market economies, especially China and India, are contributing to intensified competition but are also creating new trading opportunities for Canada. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements