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1877 Results

Dismiss the Gap? A Real-Time Assessment of the Usefulness of Canadian Output Gaps in Forecasting Inflation

We use a new real-time database for Canada to study various output gap measures. This includes recently developed measures based on models incorporating many variables as inputs (and therefore requiring real-time data for many variables).

On the Evolution of the United Kingdom Price Distributions

We propose a functional principal components method that accounts for stratified random sample weighting and time dependence in the observations to understand the evolution of distributions of monthly micro-level consumer prices for the United Kingdom (UK).
January 25, 2023

Monetary Policy Report – January 2023

Monetary Policy Report – January
Inflation in Canada is still too high but has declined from its peak. As the effects of higher interest rates continue to spread through the economy, and with declines in energy prices and improved supply chains, inflation is projected to fall to around 3% in the middle of 2023 and reach the 2% target in 2024.
August 25, 2020

The gap between inflation perceptions and reality

Speech summary Lawrence L. Schembri Canadian Association for Business Economics Kingston, Ontario
Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri talks about the difference between how Canadians perceive inflation and the actual measured rate, why this gap may exist, and what it could mean for monetary policy and the economy.
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