Bio

Alex Chernoff is a Principal Researcher in the Canadian Economic Analysis Department. His research interests include Applied Econometrics and Applied Microeconomics. Alex Chernoff received his Ph.D. in Economics from Queen’s University.


Staff research

Potential output in Canada: 2025 assessment

We explore two scenarios for potential output growth to gain insights into the economic consequences associated with different possible trade policies. Scenario 1 includes limited US tariffs on Canadian exports. Scenario 2 adds a permanent, broad-based 25% increase in US tariffs on imports from all countries excluding Canada and Mexico.

Markups, Pass-Through, and Firm Heterogeneity with Sequentially Mixed Search

Staff working paper 2025-7 Alex Chernoff, Allen Head, Beverly Lapham
Market power and pass-through of cost and demand shocks are studied in a market with free entry of heterogeneous firms and consumer mixed search. Equilibrium prices and markups are driven by variation in the elasticity of demand across firms. Improved conditions for buyers can either raise or lower market power.

Consumer Search, Productivity Heterogeneity, Prices, Markups, and Pass-through: Theory and Estimation

Staff working paper 2024-50 Alex Chernoff, Allen Head, Beverly Lapham
We develop and estimate a search model in which identical consumers trade with price-setting firms that differ in productivity. We use the estimated model to characterize the qualitative and quantitative differences in prices and markups across firms. We explore how individual firms respond to changes in cost and demand and how they pass these through to their prices and markup.

An Overview of the Indigenous Economy in Canada

Staff discussion paper 2023-25 Alex Chernoff, Calista Cheung
Several measures suggest economic outcomes have improved for Indigenous Peoples in recent decades. Yet, institutional settings and gaps in infrastructure and financing continue to hinder their economic progress. Recent efforts have helped address some data gaps, and new institutions are helping Indigenous communities to overcome historic barriers to growth.

Digitalization: Labour Markets

Staff discussion paper 2023-16 Alex Chernoff, Gabriela Galassi
In this paper, the authors assess the relationship between digitalization and labour demand and supply, and how this relationship affects wages and income inequality. We also explore implications of recent digitalization trends for the future of work.

COVID-19 and Implications for Automation

Staff working paper 2021-25 Alex Chernoff, Casey Warman
Occupations held by females with mid-level education face the highest risk of accelerated automation as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.

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Bank publications

The Economy, Plain and Simple

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Journal publications

Refereed journals