October 25, 2005 Exports, Imports, and the Appreciation of the Canadian Dollar Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2005 Richard Dion, Michel Laurence, Yi Zheng An objective assessment of the effects of the appreciation of the Canadian dollar in 2003 and 2004 on exports and imports requires a detailed review of the numerous other factors which may have been at play. Dion, Laurence, and Zheng discuss the influences that have affected Canada's international trade over the past two years, including exchange rate movements, global and sector-specific shocks, constraints on the domestic supply of a few products, and competition from emerging economies, most notably, China. The analysis is complemented with econometric models developed at the Bank which provide statistically valid estimates of the contribution of the Canadian-dollar appreciation to the recent developments in exports and imports. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
September 16, 1997 The recent economic record in Canada and the challenges ahead for monetary policy Remarks Gordon Thiessen New England-Canadian Business Council Boston, Massachusetts It has been a little over two years since my last public speech to an audience in the United States. During this time, a lot has happened in terms of economic developments in our two countries. One thing that continues to impress me is the remarkable performance of the U.S. economy, which has achieved six years of steady economic expansion, with high rates of job creation and low inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
July 10, 2019 Monetary Policy Report – July 2019 The Bank updated its forecast for real economic growth to 1.3 percent this year, 1.9 percent next year and 2.0 percent in 2021. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
December 21, 2006 The “Maple Bond” Market Financial System Review - December 2006 James Hately Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Review articles
July 18, 2000 Proposed revisions to the rules pertaining to auctions of Receiver General term deposits (discussion paper) Comments: On 18 July 2000, the government and Bank of Canada made public a discussion paper concerning the management of the federal government's cash balances. The paper outlined the current framework and proposed changes, intended to increase competition and to strengthen the management of risks, in particular the credit risks involved in the investment of […]
January 8, 2009 Financial Stability through Sound Risk Management Remarks Pierre Duguay Risk Management Association, Toronto Chapter Toronto, Ontario The extraordinary turmoil of 2007 and 2008 has brought to the fore many issues and challenges, most of which will be with us for some time as we deal with what has become the deepest financial crisis since the 1930s. Policy-makers around the world have taken bold and timely steps to deal with the financial instability and economic crisis, but it will take time for confidence to be restored and for markets to become fully functional again. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Modelling the Sovereign Debt Strategy: A Practical Primer Staff discussion paper 2025-16 Nicolas Audet, Adam Epp, Jeffrey Gao, Joe Ning We provide a primer on the role of debt modelling in informing the sovereign debt issuance strategy and discuss how specific challenges faced by debt managers can influence model design decisions. These insights are supported by our experiences using the Canadian Debt Strategy Model to guide policy decisions. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): G, G1, G11, G17, H, H6, H63, H68 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Funds management, Models and tools, Economic models
November 30, 2018 Research Update - November 2018 This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
Disentangling the Factors Driving Housing Resales Staff analytical note 2019-12 Mikael Khan, Taylor Webley We use a recently developed model and loan-level microdata to decompose movements in housing resales since 2015. We find that fundamental factors, namely housing affordability and full-time employment, have had offsetting effects on resales over our study period. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, E, E2, R, R2, R21 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Household and business credit, Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting
January 22, 2014 Monetary Policy Report – January 2014 The Canadian economy is estimated to have grown by 1.8 per cent in 2013, and is projected to grow by 2.5 per cent in both 2014 and 2015, gradually returning to its full production capacity over the next two years. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report