An Investigation into the Effects of Border Carbon Adjustments on the Canadian Economy Staff working paper 2023-27 Y.-H. Henry Chen, Hossein Hosseini Jebeli, Craig Johnston, Sergey Paltsev, Marie-Christine Tremblay We examine the economic implications of border carbon adjustments (BCAs) for Canada. We find that, BCAs, in the form of import tariffs, reduce Canada’s carbon leakage and improve its competitiveness when Canada is part of a broad coalition of BCA-implementing countries. Welfare also improves when tariff revenues are transferred to households. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C6, C68, F, F1, H, H2, Q, Q3, Q37, Q5 Research Theme(s): Structural challenges, Climate change, International trade, finance and competitiveness
January 20, 2016 Monetary Policy Report – January 2016 Growth in Canada’s economy is expected to reach 1.4 per cent this year and accelerate to 2.4 per cent in 2017. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
December 6, 2006 The Art and Design of Canadian Bank Notes This volume offers readers a behind-the-scenes look at the demanding world of bank note design, highlighting the beauty of Canada's bank notes and celebrating the engraver's art. Soft cover, 124 pages (2006). Content Type(s): Publications, Books and monographs, Souvenir books
January 9, 2019 Monetary Policy Report – January 2019 The Bank projects that Canadian economic growth will slow to 1.7 per cent this year before rebounding to 2.1 per cent in 2020. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
October 15, 2007 Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2007 Cover page Siamese Gaming Tokens The tokens pictured here are part of the National Currency Collection, Bank of Canada. Photography by Gord Carter, Ottawa. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review
Changing Fortunes: Long-Termism—G-Zero, Artificial Intelligence and Debt Staff discussion paper 2019-12 Stephen S. Poloz This paper discusses three long-term forces that are acting on the global economy and their implications for companies and policy-makers. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): E, E6, E63, F, F0, F02, F1, F15, F5, F53, F6, H, O, O1, O11, O3, O33 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply, Digitalization and productivity, International trade, finance and competitiveness
Potential output and the neutral rate in Canada: 2023 assessment Staff analytical note 2023-6 Julien Champagne, Christopher Hajzler, Dmitry Matveev, Harlee Melinchuk, Antoine Poulin-Moore, Galip Kemal Ozhan, Youngmin Park, Temel Taskin We expect that potential output growth will rebound from 1.4% in 2022 to 2.2% on average between 2023 and 2026. We revised down our estimates of growth over 2022–25 relative to the April 2022 assessment. The Canadian nominal neutral rate remains unchanged—in the range of 2% to 3%. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E2, E3, E4, E5 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply
April 4, 2012 Aging Gracefully: Canada’s Inevitable Demographic Shift Remarks Jean Boivin Economic Club of Canada Toronto, Ontario Deputy Governor Jean Boivin discusses aging in Canada and its impact on our economy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
October 23, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—October 2024—Risks The Bank of Canada sees both upside and downside risks to the inflation outlook, but the base-case scenario is considered the most likely outcome.
Sectoral Uncertainty Staff working paper 2022-38 Efrem Castelnuovo, Kerem Tuzcuoglu, Luis Uzeda We propose a new empirical framework that jointly decomposes the conditional variance of economic time series into a common and a sector-specific uncertainty component. We apply our framework to a disaggregated industrial production series for the US economy. We identify unexpected changes in durable goods uncertainty as drivers of downturns, while unexpected hikes in non-durable goods uncertainty are expansionary. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C5, C51, C55, E, E3, E32, E4, E44 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting