May 17, 2001 Joint Statement of the Government of Canada and the Bank of Canada on the Renewal of the Inflation-Control Target Media Relations The objective of Canada's monetary policy is to support and advance national economic well-being by contributing to sustained economic growth, rising levels of employment and improved living standards. The best contribution monetary policy can make to securing this outcome is to preserve confidence in the value of money by providing individuals and businesses with the certainty of a stable, low-inflation environment for their economic decisions. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
Sources of pandemic-era inflation in Canada: An application of the Bernanke and Blanchard model Staff analytical note 2024-13 Fares Bounajm, Jean Garry Junior Roc, Yang Zhang We explore the drivers of the surge in inflation in Canada during the COVID-19 pandemic. This work is part of a joint effort by 11 central banks using the model developed by Bernanke and Blanchard (2023) to identify similarities and differences across economies. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, E3, E31, E37, E5, E52, E6 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting
October 22, 2019 Business Outlook Survey—Autumn 2019 Results from the autumn Business Outlook Survey indicate that business sentiment improved slightly, but regional differences are more pronounced. Positive views in Central Canada contrast with widespread weakness in the Prairies. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
Is the Excess Bond Premium a Leading Indicator of Canadian Economic Activity? Staff analytical note 2018-4 Maxime Leboeuf, Daniel Hyun This note investigates whether Canadian corporate spreads and the excess bond premium (EBP) lead Canadian economic activity. Indeed, we find that corporate spreads precede changes in real gross domestic product (GDP) in Canada over the subsequent year. The EBP accounts for most of this property. Further, an unanticipated increase in the Canadian EBP forecasts a deterioration of domestic macroeconomic conditions: a 10-basis-point increase results in a fall in both GDP and consumer price index (CPI) of 0.4 per cent and 0.1 per cent, respectively, over three years. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, E4, E44, G, G1, G12 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market functioning, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting
April 24, 2014 Economic Adjustments Will Bring Benefits to All, Says Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz Media Relations Saskatoon, Saskatchewan Some Canadian sectors and regions are hot and some are not, but all will ultimately reap the benefits of the country’s rich resource endowment, even as some difficult adjustments take place, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz said today in Saskatoon. Canada has been adjusting to two major economic shocks in recent years, Governor […] Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
March 13, 2018 Today’s Labour Market and the Future of Work Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Chancellor David Dodge Lecture in Public Finance 2018 Kingston, Ontario Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the untapped potential in Canada’s labour market and how it extends into the workforce of tomorrow. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
Is This Normal? The Cost of Assuming that Derivatives Have Normal Returns Staff working paper 2024-46 Radoslav Raykov Derivatives exchanges often determine collateral requirements, which are fundamental to market safety, with dated risk models assuming normal returns. However, derivatives returns are heavy-tailed, which leads to the systematic under-collection of collateral (margin). This paper uses extreme value theory (EVT) to evaluate the cost of this margin inadequacy to market participants in the event of default. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): G, G1, G10, G11, G2, G20 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market functioning, Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Financial system regulation and oversight
November 8, 2021 Quarterly Financial Report - Third Quarter 2021 Quarterly Financial Report - Third Quarter 2021 - For the period ended September 30, 2021 Content Type(s): Publications, Quarterly Financial Report
January 31, 2019 Research Update - January 2019 This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
April 22, 2010 Monetary Policy Report – April 2010 Global economic growth has been somewhat stronger than projected, with momentum in emerging-market economies increasing noticeably. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report