May 9, 1995 Interpreting recent changes in monetary aggregates Bank of Canada Review - Spring 1995 Kevin Clinton In 1994, broad monetary aggregates such as M2+ grew at an unusually slow rate, indicating a continuation of low inflation. Narrow money, M1, ballooned early in the year, partly for technical reasons. However, its overall deceleration for the year as a whole would be consistent with lower output growth in the first half of 1995 than was seen the year before. During the first half of 1994, there was a continued shift by investors from deposits into equity, bond and mortgage mutual funds. In the second half of the year, following a rise in interest rates and a fall in the yields posted by mutual funds, there was a movement back into M2+. In this annual review of the monetary aggregates, the author discusses the reasons for these shifts and their implications for M2+. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
May 31, 2020 Research Update - May 2020 This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
August 29, 2013 Quarterly Financial Report - Second Quarter 2013 Quarterly Financial Report - Second Quarter 2013 - For the period ended 30 June 2013 Content Type(s): Publications, Quarterly Financial Report
April 29, 2026 Monetary Policy Report—April 2026—Appendix—Potential output and the nominal neutral rate of interest US protectionism is expected to dampen labour productivity, while population growth remains subdued. Growth in Canadian potential output is expected to weaken in 2026. It then picks up in 2027 and 2028 as investment recovers and artificial intelligence improves productivity.
November 13, 2019 Quarterly Financial Report - Third Quarter 2019 Quarterly Financial Report - Third Quarter 2019 - For the period ended September 30, 2019 Content Type(s): Publications, Quarterly Financial Report
Potential output and the neutral rate in Canada: 2022 reassessment Staff analytical note 2022-3 Guyllaume Faucher, Christopher Hajzler, Martin Kuncl, Dmitry Matveev, Youngmin Park, Temel Taskin We expect potential output growth to be lower in 2021 than anticipated in the April 2021 assessment. By 2025, growth is expected to reach 2.3%. We assess that the Canadian nominal neutral rate increased slightly to lie in the range of 2.00% to 3.00%. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply
Central Bank Liquidity Facilities and Market Making Staff working paper 2022-9 David Cimon, Adrian Walton We create a theoretical model of central bank asset purchases. The model helps explain how, in a crisis, these purchases ease pressures on investment dealers. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): G, G1, G10, G2, G20, L, L1, L10 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market functioning, Financial system, Financial institutions and intermediation, Financial stability and systemic risk, Monetary policy, Monetary policy tools and implementation
Sources of pandemic-era inflation in Canada: An application of the Bernanke and Blanchard model Staff analytical note 2024-13 Fares Bounajm, Jean Garry Junior Roc, Yang Zhang We explore the drivers of the surge in inflation in Canada during the COVID-19 pandemic. This work is part of a joint effort by 11 central banks using the model developed by Bernanke and Blanchard (2023) to identify similarities and differences across economies. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, E3, E31, E37, E5, E52, E6 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting
May 11, 2026 Market Participants Survey—First Quarter of 2026 The Market Participants Survey results are based on questionnaire responses from about 28 financial market participants. Content Type(s): Publications, Market Participants Survey
August 27, 2019 Quarterly Financial Report - Second Quarter 2019 Quarterly Financial Report - Second Quarter 2019 - For the period ended June 30, 2019 Content Type(s): Publications, Quarterly Financial Report