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October 30, 2012

Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance

Opening statement Mark Carney House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Ottawa, Ontario
Good afternoon. Tiff and I are pleased to be here with you today to discuss the October Monetary Policy Report, which the Bank published last week. The global economy has unfolded broadly as the Bank projected in its July MPR. Growth has slowed in all major regions. The economic expansion in the United States is […]
May 4, 2023

Getting inflation back to 2%

Speech summary Tiff Macklem Toronto Region Board of Trade Toronto, Ontario
Governor Tiff Macklem explains that higher interest rates are working to slow inflation but warns that getting all the way back to the 2% target may take time. He also discusses the recent stress in the global banking sector and how financial stability and price stability work together.
April 20, 2016

Opening Statement before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce

Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Ottawa, Ontario
Good morning, Mr. Chairman and committee members. Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins and I are happy to be back to discuss the Bank’s Monetary Policy Report (MPR), which we published last week. It has been 18 months since Carolyn and I were last here. And it was about that time, in the fall of 2014, when […]

Is the Excess Bond Premium a Leading Indicator of Canadian Economic Activity?

Staff analytical note 2018-4 Maxime Leboeuf, Daniel Hyun
This note investigates whether Canadian corporate spreads and the excess bond premium (EBP) lead Canadian economic activity. Indeed, we find that corporate spreads precede changes in real gross domestic product (GDP) in Canada over the subsequent year. The EBP accounts for most of this property. Further, an unanticipated increase in the Canadian EBP forecasts a deterioration of domestic macroeconomic conditions: a 10-basis-point increase results in a fall in both GDP and consumer price index (CPI) of 0.4 per cent and 0.1 per cent, respectively, over three years.
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