Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function Staff working paper 2023-61 Tony Chernis, Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber, Gary Koop, James Mitchell This paper studies non-parametric combinations of density forecasts. We introduce a regression tree-based approach that allows combination weights to vary on the features of the densities, time-trends or economic indicators. In two empirical applications, we show the benefits of this approach in terms of improved forecast accuracy and interpretability. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C1, C11, C3, C32, C5, C53 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting
October 8, 2009 Central Banking in Canada: Meeting Today's and Tomorrow's Challenges Remarks Paul Jenkins Vancouver Board of Trade Vancouver, British Columbia Indeed, the global financial crisis of the past two years has presented unique, stressful challenges that have forced us all to assess what has worked well and what needs to change. Today, I would like to review some of the critical thinking around these issues, primarily from the perspective of our work at the Bank of Canada. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
September 8, 2021 Bank of Canada maintains policy rate, continues forward guidance and current pace of quantitative easing Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at the effective lower bound of ¼ percent, with the Bank Rate at ½ percent and the deposit rate at ¼ percent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
April 24, 2005 Bank of Canada Review - Spring 2005 Cover page Moroccan Coin Moulds This bronze mould from Morocco is part of the National Currency Collection, Bank of Canada. Photography by Gord Carter, Ottawa. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review
September 5, 2003 Spruce Meadows Roundtable Remarks David Dodge Spruce Meadows Roundtable Spruce Meadows, Alberta Canada's reliance on foreign trade has required us to be active internationalists for decades. Louis Rasminsky, who went on to become Governor of the Bank of Canada, was one of Canada's delegates at the Bretton Woods Conference that led to the creation of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank. Rasminsky played an important role, formal and informal, at the talks. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
April 13, 2016 Monetary Policy Report – April 2016 Canada’s economy is projected to grow by 1.7 per cent in 2016 and return to potential next year as complex adjustments continue. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
December 23, 2005 70 Years of Central Banking in Canada Bank of Canada Review - Winter 2005-2006 David Dodge Remarks by David Dodge, Governor of the Bank of Canada, to the Canadian Economics Association Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
April 18, 2012 Monetary Policy Report – April 2012 The Bank projects the Canadian economy will grow by 2.4 per cent in 2012 and 2013 before moderating to 2.2 per cent in 2014. The economy is now expected to return to full capacity in the first half of 2013. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
January 28, 2026 Monetary Policy Report—January 2026—Canadian economy—Outlook US trade restrictions have disrupted the Canadian economy, leading to structural adjustments that will take time to unfold. Economic growth is expected to remain modest. Excess supply roughly offsets upward cost pressures over the projection horizon, keeping inflation close to the 2% target.
September 14, 2000 The Outlook for the Canadian Economy and the Conduct of Monetary Policy Remarks Gordon Thiessen Calgary Chamber of Commerce Calgary, Alberta Today, I would like to bring you up to date on the Bank of Canada's views about the outlook for the Canadian economy. Prospects for the period ahead are generally very favourable. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks