Evaluating the Bank of Canada Staff Economic Projections Using a New Database of Real-Time Data and Forecasts Staff working paper 2018-52 Julien Champagne, Guillaume Poulin-Bellisle, Rodrigo Sekkel We present a novel database of real-time data and forecasts from the Bank of Canada’s staff economic projections. We then provide a forecast evaluation for GDP growth and CPI inflation since 1982: we compare the staff forecasts with those from commonly used time-series models estimated with real-time data and with forecasts from other professional forecasters and provide standard bias tests. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E1, E17, E3, E37 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting
November 17, 1999 Monetary Policy Report – November 1999 Since the May Report, the international economic environment has continued to improve. Economic activity abroad grew faster than expected, while inflation in the major economies remained subdued. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
May 21, 2003 Conference Summary: Price Adjustment and Monetary Policy Bank of Canada Review - Spring 2003 Robert Amano, Donald Coletti The 2002 Bank of Canada Conference focused on price adjustment, a critically important issue for monetary policy. Given the acceptance throughout the 1990s and 2000s of the existence of price stickiness in goods or labour markets, or both, and of the important role that monetary policy can play in an economy, the time was right for a conference that would focus on current developments in this area of research, particularly within a Canadian context. Conference papers covering both theoretical and empirical studies explored such themes as sources of the persistence of inflation, forward-looking models of inflation, models of inflation in open economies, the macroeconomic effects of technology shocks, and models of the interaction between wages, prices, and real economic outcomes. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
September 22, 2005 Financial System Efficiency: Getting the Regulatory Framework Right Remarks David Dodge Toronto CFA Society Toronto, Ontario The Bank of Canada has been contributing to the goal of an efficient financial system in a number of ways. The Bank's monetary policy aims to keep inflation low, stable, and predictable. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
October 18, 2007 Bank of Canada releases Monetary Policy Report Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today released its October Monetary Policy Report, which discusses current economic and financial trends in the context of Canada's inflation-control strategy. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
April 24, 2008 Bank of Canada releases Monetary Policy Report Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario Bank of Canada today released its April Monetary Policy Report, which discusses current economic and financial trends in the context of Canada's inflation-control strategy. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
October 20, 2005 Bank of Canada releases Monetary Policy Report Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today released its October Monetary Policy Report, which discusses current economic and financial trends in the context of Canada's inflation-control strategy. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
July 24, 2002 Bank of Canada Releases Monetary Policy Report Update Media Relations The Bank of Canada today released its Update to the April Monetary Policy Report, in which it discusses economic and financial trends in the context of Canada's inflation-control strategy. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
November 7, 2001 Bank of Canada releases semi-annual Monetary Policy Report Media Relations The Bank of Canada today released its semi-annual Monetary Policy Report in which it discusses economic and financial trends in the context of Canada's inflation-control strategy. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases