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September 10, 2024

Global trade in a changing world

Speech summary Tiff Macklem Canada-UK Chamber of Commerce London, United Kingdom
Governor Tiff Macklem talks about how geopolitical, economic and social forces are changing global trade. He also discusses how Canada can benefit from trade shifts and prepare for future supply shocks.

The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada

Staff working paper 2018-56 Lutz Kilian, Xiaoqing Zhou
How do global oil price shocks spread through Canada’s economy? With Canada’s regionally diverse economy in mind, we explore the implications of oil price shocks for Canadian housing markets and regional economies. We show that the belief that oil price shocks only matter in oil-rich regions is false.
April 30, 2002

Opening Statement before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce

Opening statement David Dodge Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce
To counter that uncertainty and bolster consumer and business confidence, the Bank of Canada moved aggressively to provide monetary stimulus. Between last September and January 2002, we lowered interest rates by 200 basis points, bringing the total reduction since January 2001 to 375 basis points.

A Reference Guide for the Business Outlook Survey

Staff discussion paper 2020-15 David Amirault, Naveen Rai, Laurent Martin
The Business Outlook Survey (BOS) has become an important part of monetary policy deliberations at the Bank of Canada and is also well known in Canadian policy and financial circles. This paper compiles more than 20 years of experience conducting the BOS and serves as a comprehensive reference manual.

Tattle-tails: Gauging downside risks using option prices

Staff analytical note 2023-13 Greg Adams, Maksym Tupis
Options markets offer unique insights into the changing risks different assets face, which helps us better understand the broader risks to the Canadian economy. We show how option prices help reveal that investors did not anticipate large downside risks to either major Canadian banks or economic growth during the March 2023 financial sector system stress, a period when policy-makers and investors were unsure of what the future held for Canada’s economy.
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