Supply Drivers of US Inflation Since the COVID-19 Pandemic Staff working paper 2023-19 Serdar Kabaca, Kerem Tuzcuoglu This paper examines the contribution of several supply factors to US headline inflation since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. We identify six supply shocks using a structural VAR model: labor supply, labor productivity, global supply chain, oil price, price mark-up and wage mark-up shocks. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E3, E31, E32 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures
June 7, 2010 Expectations: Definitions, graphs and data Selected definitions, graphs and historical data
January 29, 2025 Monetary Policy Report—January 2025—Global economy Global economic growth remains near 3%, and headline inflation is close to central bank targets in many countries. However, uncertainty has increased amid political and trade tensions. The outlook does not incorporate new tariffs threatened by the United States.
February 16, 2000 Release of the Monetary Policy Report Update Opening statement Gordon Thiessen This morning, we released our update to the November 1999 Monetary Policy Report. It gives the Governing Council's latest outlook for the economy and for inflation. Information received since November confirms that our economy performed well last year - expanding by close to 4 per cent between the fourth quarter of 1998 and the fourth […] Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
April 29, 2026 Monetary Policy Report—April 2026—In focus— The war in the Middle East is affecting the Canadian economy in several ways. Inflation will be higher in the near term, but the magnitude and persistence of the increase is uncertain. The net impact on growth is expected to be small.
January 23, 2004 Bank of Canada Review - Winter 2003-2004 Cover page Brass Cash Register, 1910 The register is part of the National Currency Collection, Bank of Canada. Photographed by Gord Carter, Ottawa. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review
September 14, 2017 Bank of Canada Workshop “Monetary Policy Framework Issues: Toward the 2021 Inflation-Target Renewal” Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Ottawa, Ontario Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri opens the Bank’s Monetary Policy Framework Issues: Toward the 2021 Inflation-Target Renewal workshop. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economic models, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
July 24, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—July 2024—Global economy The global economy is forecast to grow at around 3% over the projection horizon, in line with its current pace. Inflation remains above central bank targets.
December 31, 2018 Research Update - December 2018 This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
May 23, 2004 Bank of Canada Review - Spring 2004 Cover page The Millennial Celebrations in Ancient Rome The coins pictured on the cover range from approximately 20 to 35 mm in diameter and form part of the National Currency Collection, Bank of Canada. Photography by Gord Carter, Ottawa Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review