The trade conflict hasn’t derailed supply chains. Here’s why. Sparks at Bank article Raheeb Dastagir, Louis Poirier Global supply chains have been working well despite abrupt shifts in US trade policy and rising global tensions in 2025. A big reason for this is that companies have improved how goods are shipped and warehoused to keep products flowing around the world. But these supply chains could be tested even more if the trade conflict worsens. Content Type(s): Staff research, Sparks at Bank article Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Structural challenges, Digitalization and productivity, International trade, finance and competitiveness
February 17, 2026 The Governor's Challenge The Governor’s Challenge simulates the monetary policy decision-making process by putting students in the role of advisor to the Bank’s Governing Council.
February 16, 2026 Family Day Provincial holiday: Alberta, British Columbia, Nova Scotia and Ontario Content Type(s): Upcoming events
Extraordinary Forward Guidance in Canada During the Pandemic Staff analytical paper 2026-1 Christopher S. Sutherland We consider two trade-offs inherent to extraordinary forward guidance (EFG): potency versus flexibility, and the credibility of forward guidance versus the credibility of inflation targeting. We argue that the form of EFG used by the Bank of Canada during the COVID‑19 pandemic balanced both trade-offs relatively well. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical paper JEL Code(s): D, D3, D8, D83, D84, E, E3, E37, E5, E52, E58 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Monetary policy tools and implementation
Housing and the Long-Term Real Effects of Changes in Trend Inflation Staff working paper 2026-1 James (Jim) C. MacGee, Yuxi Yao An economy with fixed amortization mortgages and borrowing-constrained consumers leads to the level of inflation targeted having real effects on home ownership, consumption, and debt. Using a life-cycle housing tenure choice model, we show that by front-loading real mortgage payments, higher inflation lowers steady-state home ownership and the mortgage-debt-to-income ratio. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E2, E21, E5, E50, G, G5, G51, R, R2, R21 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures
February 12, 2026 Fireside Chat: Carolyn Rogers, Senior Deputy Governor Rotman School of Management Toronto, ON Content Type(s): Upcoming events
February 12, 2026 Fireside chat with Carolyn Rogers, Senior Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada On Thursday, February 12, 2026, Carolyn Rogers, Senior Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, will participate in a fireside chat at the Rotman Productivity Conference. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
February 11, 2026 Publication: Summary of Deliberations 13:30 (ET) A summary of monetary policy deliberations by the Governing Council for the policy decision that was announced two weeks earlier. Content Type(s): Upcoming events
February 11, 2026 Release of the Bank of Canada’s summary of deliberations On Wednesday, February 11, 2026, the Bank of Canada will publish a summary of the deliberations that took place ahead of its interest rate decision on January 28, 2026. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories