Technical reports provide detailed descriptions of staff research project methodologies and model development.
91
result(s)
Analyzing and Forecasting the Canadian Economy through the LENS Model
Technical Report No. 102
Olivier Gervais,
Marc-André Gosselin
The authors describe the key features of a new large-scale Canadian macroeconomic forecasting model developed over the past two years at the Bank of Canada.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C53,
E,
E1,
E17,
E2,
E27,
E3,
E37,
F,
F1,
F17
Database of Sovereign Defaults, 2017
Technical Report No. 101
David Beers,
Jamshid Mavalwalla
Until recently, there have been few efforts to systematically measure and aggregate the nominal value of the different types of sovereign government debt in default. To help fill this gap, the Bank of Canada’s Credit Rating Assessment Group (CRAG) has developed a comprehensive database of sovereign defaults posted on the Bank of Canada’s website.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Debt management,
Development economics,
Financial stability,
International financial markets
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F34,
G,
G1,
G10,
G14,
G15
ToTEM II: An Updated Version of the Bank of Canada’s Quarterly Projection Model
Technical Report No. 100
José Dorich,
Michael K. Johnston,
Rhys R. Mendes,
Stephen Murchison,
Yang Zhang
This report provides a detailed technical description of an updated version of the Terms-of-Trade Economic Model (ToTEM II), which replaced ToTEM (Murchison and Rennison 2006) in June 2011 as the Bank of Canada’s quarterly projection model for Canada.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
E,
E1,
E17,
E2,
E20,
E3,
E30,
E4,
E40,
E5,
E50,
F,
F4,
F41
Introducing the Bank of Canada's Projection Model for the Global Economy
Technical Report No. 99
Jeannine Bailliu,
Patrick Blagrave,
James Rossiter
To complement its existing set of tools to analyze and forecast developments in the global economy, the Bank of Canada recently developed a version of the Global Projection Model (GPM) jointly with staff at the International Monetary Fund.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C68,
E,
E2,
E27,
E3,
E37,
F,
F0,
F01
The Bank of Canada's Version of the Global Economy Model (BoC-GEM)
Technical Report No. 98
René Lalonde,
Dirk Muir
The Bank of Canada's version of the Global Economy Model (BoC-GEM) is derived from the model created at the International Monetary Fund by Douglas Laxton (IMF) and Paolo Pesenti (Federal Reserve Bank of New York and National Bureau of Economic Research).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C68,
E,
E2,
E27,
E3,
E37,
F,
F3,
F32,
F4,
F47
ToTEM: The Bank of Canada's New Quarterly Projection Model
Technical Report No. 97
Stephen Murchison,
Andrew Rennison
The authors provide a detailed technical description of the Terms-of-Trade Economic Model (ToTEM), which replaced the Quarterly Projection Model (QPM) in December 2005 as the Bank's principal projection and policy-analysis model for the Canadian economy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
E,
E1,
E17,
E2,
E20,
E3,
E30,
E4,
E40,
E5,
E50,
F,
F4,
F41
MUSE: The Bank of Canada's New Projection Model of the U.S. Economy
Technical Report No. 96
Marc-André Gosselin,
René Lalonde
The analysis and forecasting of developments in the U.S. economy have always played a critical role in the formulation of Canadian economic and financial policy. Thus, the Bank places considerable importance on generating internal forecasts of U.S. economic activity as an input to the Canadian projection.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C53,
E,
E1,
E17,
E2,
E27,
E3,
E37,
F,
F1,
F17
Essays on Financial Stability
Technical Report No. 95
John Chant,
Alexandra Lai,
Mark Illing,
Fred Daniel
The four essays published here provide a useful overview for anyone interested in understanding the issues and policy environment surrounding financial system stability.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
G,
G2,
G28
A Comparison of Twelve Macroeconomic Models of the Canadian Economy
Technical Report No. 94
Denise Côté,
John Kuszczak,
Jean-Paul Lam,
Ying Liu,
Pierre St-Amant
In this report, the authors examine and compare twelve private and public sector models of the Canadian economy with respect to their paradigm, structure, and dynamic properties. These open-economy models can be grouped into two economic paradigms.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Monetary policy and uncertainty
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
E,
E5,
E52,
E58