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20
result(s)
Weather the Storms? Hurricanes, Technology and Oil Production
Staff Working Paper 2022-36
Johan Brannlund,
Geoffrey R. Dunbar,
Reinhard Ellwanger,
Matthew Krutkiewicz
Do technological improvements mitigate the potential damages from extreme weather events? We show that hurricanes lower offshore oil production in the Gulf of Mexico and that stronger storms have larger impacts. Regulations enacted in 1980 that required improved offshore construction standards only modestly mitigated the production losses.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Climate change,
Potential output
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C22,
C23,
Q,
Q4,
Q40,
Q48,
Q5,
Q54
Assessing Climate-Related Financial Risk: Guide to Implementation of Methods
Technical Report No. 120
Hossein Hosseini,
Craig Johnston,
Craig Logan,
Miguel Molico,
Xiangjin Shen,
Marie-Christine Tremblay
A pilot project on climate transition scenarios by the Bank of Canada and the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions assessed climate-related credit and market risks. This report describes the project’s methodologies and provides guidance on implementing them.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Climate change,
Credit and credit aggregates,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C53,
C8,
C83,
G,
G1,
G3,
G32
Transition Scenarios for Analyzing Climate-Related Financial Risk
Staff Discussion Paper 2022-1
Y.-H. Henry Chen,
Erik Ens,
Olivier Gervais,
Hossein Hosseini,
Craig Johnston,
Serdar Kabaca,
Miguel Molico,
Sergey Paltsev,
Alex Proulx,
Argyn Toktamyssov
Climate transition scenarios clarify climate-related risks to our economy and financial system. This paper summarizes key results of Canada-relevant scenarios developed in a pilot project on climate risk by the Bank of Canada and the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Climate change,
Economic models,
Financial stability,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C68,
D,
D5,
D58,
E,
E5,
E50,
O,
O4,
O44,
P,
P1,
P18,
Q,
Q5,
Q54
Energy Efficiency and Fluctuations in CO2 Emissions
Staff Working Paper 2021-47
Soojin Jo,
Lilia Karnizova
Carbon dioxide emissions have been commonly modelled as rising and falling with total output. Yet many factors, such as energy-efficiency improvements and shifts to cleaner energy, can break this relationship. We evaluate these factors using US data and find that changes in energy efficiency of consumption goods explain a significant proportion of emissions fluctuations. This finding also implies that models that omit energy efficiency likely overestimate the trade-off between environmental protection and economic performance.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Climate change,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
Q,
Q4,
Q43,
Q5,
Q50,
Q55
Household financial vulnerabilities and physical climate risks
Staff Analytical Note 2021-19
Thibaut Duprey,
Colin Jones,
Callie Symmers,
Geneviève Vallée
Natural disasters occur more often than before, potentially exposing households to financial distress. We study the intersection between household financial vulnerabilities and severe weather events.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Climate change,
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial stability,
Housing,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C21,
C3,
C38,
D,
D1,
D14,
Q,
Q5,
Q54
Evolving Temperature Dynamics in Canada: Preliminary Evidence Based on 60 Years of Data
Staff Working Paper 2021-22
Robert Amano,
Marc-André Gosselin,
Julien McDonald-Guimond
Are summers getting hotter? Do daily temperatures change more than they used to? Using daily Canadian temperature data from 1960 to 2020 and modern econometric methods, we provide economists and policy-makers evidence on the important climate change issue of evolving temperatures.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Climate change,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C22,
Q,
Q5,
Q54
Household indebtedness risks in the wake of COVID‑19
Staff Analytical Note 2020-8
Olga Bilyk,
Anson T. Y. Ho,
Mikael Khan,
Geneviève Vallée
COVID-19 presents challenges for indebted households. We assess these by drawing parallels between pandemics and natural disasters. Taking into account the financial health of the household sector when the pandemic began, we run model simulations to illustrate how payment deferrals and the labour market recovery will affect mortgage defaults.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Climate change,
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Credit and credit aggregates,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial stability,
Fiscal policy,
Housing,
Recent economic and financial developments,
Sectoral balance sheet
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C21,
D,
D1,
D12,
D14,
E,
E2,
E24,
E27,
E6,
E62,
G,
G2,
G21,
G28,
R,
R2
Scenario Analysis and the Economic and Financial Risks from Climate Change
Staff Discussion Paper 2020-3
Erik Ens,
Craig Johnston
This paper adapts climate-economy models that have been applied in other contexts for use in climate-related scenario analysis. We consider illustrative scenarios for the global economy that could generate economic and financial risks. Our results suggest there are significant economic risks from climate change and the move to a low-carbon economy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Climate change,
Economic models,
Financial stability,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C68,
D,
D5,
D58,
E,
E5,
E50,
O,
O4,
O44,
P,
P1,
P18,
Q,
Q4,
Q5,
Q54,
Q55
November 19, 2019
Researching the Economic Impacts of Climate Change
The Bank of Canada has a mandate to “promote the economic and financial welfare of Canada,” primarily through the conduct of monetary policy and promotion of a safe, sound and efficient financial system. Understanding the macroeconomic and financial system impacts of climate change and the transition to a low-carbon economy is therefore a priority for the Bank.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Other
Topic(s):
Climate change