Bank of Canada Review articles, Financial System Review articles, Staff research, Staff discussion papers, Other, Technical reports, Staff working papers
-
-
Nowcasting the Global Economy
Forecasts of global economic activity and inflation are important inputs when conducting monetary policy in small open economies such as Canada. As part of the Bank of Canada's broad agenda to augment its short-term forecasting tools, the author constructs simple mixed-frequency forecasting equations for quarterly global output, imports, and inflation using the monthly global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI).