June 29, 2006 What Monetary Policy Can and Cannot Do Remarks Paul Jenkins Canadian Institute of Actuaries Ottawa, Ontario As Canada's central bank, we are committed to conduct monetary policy in a way that fosters confidence in the value of money. This is our primary responsibility. But the Bank has a number of other functions that are very important to economic life in Canada. We promote the safety and soundness of the financial system. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
January 14, 2022 Using Scenario Analysis to Assess Climate Transition Risk Final Report of the BoC-OSFI Climate Scenario Analysis Pilot
April 13, 2016 Monetary Policy Report – April 2016 Canada’s economy is projected to grow by 1.7 per cent in 2016 and return to potential next year as complex adjustments continue. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
August 16, 2000 Monetary Policy Report Update – August 2000 Information received since the last Monetary Policy Report continues to show solid economic growth in the United States, Europe, and the emerging markets. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
Survey Evidence on Firm AI Adoption and its Implications Staff analytical paper 2026-22 Chanya Chawla, Crystal Arnburg This paper analyzes AI adoption among Canadian firms using December 2025 Business Leaders’ Pulse data. It finds that while personal use is widespread, operational adoption remains limited. Firms expect modest positive impacts on capital spending and small net negative effects on employment over the next three years. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical paper JEL Code(s): E, E0, E2, E22, E24, O, O3, O33 Research Theme(s): Structural challenges, Digitalization and productivity
January 22, 2020 Monetary Policy Report – January 2020 The Bank projects that growth in the Canadian economy will accelerate from 1.6 percent this year to 2 percent in 2021. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? Staff working paper 2017-50 Christiane Baumeister, Lutz Kilian, Xiaoqing Zhou The transmission of oil price shocks has been a question of central interest in macroeconomics since the 1970s. There has been renewed interest in this question after the large and persistent fall in the real price of oil in 2014–16. In the context of this debate, Ramey (2017) makes the striking claim that the existing literature on the transmission of oil price shocks is fundamentally confused about the question of how to quantify the effect of oil price shocks. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C5, C51, Q, Q4, Q43 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting
May 16, 2018 The (Mostly) Long and Short of Potential Output Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Ottawa Economics Association and CFA Society Ottawa Ottawa, Ontario Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses the importance of potential output to monetary policy, as well as policy challenges and opportunities in a world of low potential output growth. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economic models, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation targeting framework
Macroprudential FX Regulations: Shifting the Snowbanks of FX Vulnerability? Staff working paper 2018-55 Toni Ahnert, Kristin Forbes, Christian Friedrich, Dennis Reinhardt Can macroprudential foreign exchange (FX) regulations on banks reduce the financial and macroeconomic vulnerabilities created by borrowing in foreign currency? To evaluate the effectiveness and unintended consequences of macroprudential FX regulations, we develop a parsimonious model of bank and market lending in domestic and foreign currency and derive four predictions. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): F, F3, F32, F34, G, G1, G15, G2, G21, G28 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, International markets and currencies, Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Financial system regulation and oversight
February 16, 2000 Monetary Policy Report Update – February 2000 Information received since the last Monetary Policy Report, released on 17 November, points to a stronger pace of economic expansion in the United States and Europe than was expected at that time, and confirms the hesitant nature of the recovery in Japan. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report