Monetary Policy and Cross-Border Interbank Market Fragmentation: Lessons from the Crisis Staff working paper 2020-34 Tobias Blattner, Jonathan Swarbrick We present a two-country model featuring risky lending and cross-border interbank market frictions. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, E5, E52, F, F3, F32, F36 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, International markets and currencies, Financial system, Financial institutions and intermediation, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Monetary policy tools and implementation
Monetary Policy Tradeoffs Between Financial Stability and Price Stability Staff working paper 2016-49 Malik Shukayev, Alexander Ueberfeldt We analyze the impact of interest rate policy on financial stability in an environment where banks can experience runs on their short-term liabilities, forcing them to sell assets at fire-sale prices. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): D, D6, D62, E, E3, E32, E4, E44, G, G0, G01 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission
January 14, 2008 Business Outlook Survey - Winter 2007-08 Overall, firms remain positive about the outlook, with the results of the winter survey showing little change from those of the autumn survey. Nonetheless, firms reported more uncertainty in light of recent developments, most notably the volatility in the value of the Canadian dollar. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
January 13, 2014 Business Outlook Survey - Winter 2013-14 The winter Business Outlook Survey provides some positive signs for the economic outlook, notably for exports and investment, although responses do not yet appear to suggest a significant strengthening. For many businesses, weak demand and domestic uncertainty continue to temper sales expectations and expansion plans. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
April 30, 2012 Transport and Logistics - Connecting Canada to the Global Economy Remarks Timothy Lane Chartered Institute of Logistics and Transport North America Ottawa, Ontario Deputy Governor Tim Lane discusses the global economic outlook and the integral – and historic – role of transport and logistics in building Canada’s prosperity. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
December 13, 1998 Survey of the Canadian foreign exchange and derivatives markets Bank of Canada Review - Winter 1998-1999 Robert Ogrodnick, Judy DiMillo In April 1998, the Bank of Canada conducted its triennial survey of activity in the Canadian foreign exchange and derivatives markets. This was part of a coordinated international effort in which 43 countries carried out similar surveys. The foreign exchange market in Canada is the 11th largest in the world, and the Canadian dollar is the 7th most-traded currency globally. The average daily turnover of traditional foreign exchange transactions has grown by 23 per cent (to US$37 billion) since the last survey in 1995. Although this growth was substantial, the rate of increase has declined steadily since the survey began in 1983. The average daily turnover for single-currency interest rate derivatives during April 1998 was US$6.4 billion, an increase of 48 per cent over the previous survey. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
July 16, 2014 Monetary Policy Report – July 2014 Canadian real GDP growth is projected to average around 2 ¼ per cent during 2014-2016. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
Do Firms’ Sales Expectations Hit the Mark? Evidence from the Business Leaders’ Pulse Staff discussion paper 2025-15 Owen Gaboury, Farrukh Suvankulov, Mathieu Utting We analyze Canadian data from the Bank of Canada’s Business Leaders’ Pulse, examining firms’ sales growth expectations. We find that expected growth predicts outcomes, uncertainty influences forecast errors and revisions, and firms with weak past performance anticipate and experience weaker future growth. These results highlight the survey’s value for understanding business expectations. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C8, C83, D, D2, D22 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Real economy and forecasting
January 31, 2017 Research Update - January 2017 This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
September 18, 2017 How Canada’s International Trade is Changing with the Times Remarks Timothy Lane Saskatoon Regional Economic Development Authority Saskatoon, Saskatchewan Deputy Governor Timothy Lane discusses the changing nature of international trade and the factors that are propelling it. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial markets, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth