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1877 Results

October 29, 2025

Monetary Policy Report—October 2025—In focus—Assessing underlying inflation

The goal of monetary policy is to keep total inflation close to the 2% target. But inflation can be volatile, and it takes time for changes to interest rates to filter through the economy. This is why, when setting policy, it is important to distinguish between temporary movements in inflation and lasting ones.

Is anyone surprised? The high-frequency impact of US and domestic macroeconomic data announcements on Canadian asset prices

Staff analytical note 2025-10 Blake DeBruin Martos, Rodrigo Sekkel, Henry Stern, Xu Zhang
Using almost two decades of detailed high-frequency data, we show how Canadian interest rates, the CAD/USD spot exchange rate, and stock market returns react to both US and domestic macro announcements. We find that Canadian macroeconomic announcements invoke greater responses in short-term yields, whereas US macroeconomic announcements play an increasingly important role in the yield movements of longer-term assets.
July 24, 2024

Monetary Policy Report—July 2024

Monetary Policy Report
Monetary policy is working to reduce price pressures in the Canadian economy. Core inflation is expected to ease gradually, while the path of CPI inflation will be bumpy. Inflation returns sustainably to the 2% target in the second half of 2025.
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