Money and payments

The digital age is reshaping the very nature of money and payments. Our research aims to ensure Canadians have access to safe, reliable and convenient forms of payment—including cash—now and into the future.

Recent technological advancements have paved the way for new payment options and new participants in the payments ecosystem, a trend that will certainly continue to shape how people buy things and transfer funds in the coming years. These innovations can make financial services more efficient and cheaper to deliver to Canadians. But they also increase risks, such as fraud and data breaches.

This is why our research is so critical. We study how the rise of digital currencies and electronic payments affects our ability to fulfill our core functions, including keeping inflation on target, promoting financial stability and issuing bank notes that Canadians can trust.

Examples of areas we are researching:

  • the payment innovations that could have the biggest impact on demand for cash in the future
  • ways to ensure Canadians can continue to access and pay with cash as patterns of cash use shift
  • the reasons why cross-border payments are expensive and slow
  • how to balance the speed and convenience of the retail payment system with risks like fraud and data breaches
  • the benefits and pitfalls of integrating tokenized assets into payment systems

Cash and bank notes

The Bank is the sole issuer of bank notes in Canada, and we want Canadians to use these notes with confidence and pride. And, in fact, they do: even with new and innovative payment methods available, cash still accounts for one out of every five transactions at the point of sale. We consistently examine the demand for and use of cash, as well as its accessibility and acceptance within the economy. This requires an understanding of current trends and emerging challenges, including developments in cryptoassets and financial technology (fintech).

Payments

The Bank is committed to understanding and shaping the evolving landscape of payment options to ensure Canadians benefit from any changes. As new technologies and payment service providers emerge, we conduct research to address challenges such those related to cross-border transactions, access to central bank payment systems and the prospective design and structure of the payments ecosystem. Additionally, we are assessing how the Bank’s new role supervising retail payments service providers fits within this broader context. Our research informs policy development and regulatory oversight with the end goal of delivering better outcomes for Canadians.

Related research

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A Framework for Analyzing Monetary Policy in an Economy with E-money

Staff working paper 2019-1 Yu Zhu, Scott Hendry
This paper considers an economy where central-bank-issued fiat money competes with privately issued e-money. We study a policy-setting game between the central bank and the e-money issuer and find (1) the optimal monetary policy of the central bank depends on the policy of the private issuer and may deviate from the Friedman rule; (2) multiple equilibria may exist; (3) when the economy approaches a cashless state, the central bank’s optimal policy improves the market power of the e-money issuer and can lead to a discrete decrease in welfare and a discrete increase in inflation; and (4) first best cannot be achieved.

2017 Methods-of-Payment Survey: Sample Calibration and Variance Estimation

Technical report No. 114 Heng Chen, Marie-Hélène Felt, Christopher Henry
This technical report describes sampling, weighting and variance estimation for the Bank of Canada’s 2017 Methods-of-Payment Survey. Under quota sampling, a raking ratio method is implemented to generate weights with both post-stratification and nonparametric nonresponse weight adjustments.

Should the Central Bank Issue E-money?

Staff working paper 2018-58 Charles M. Kahn, Francisco Rivadeneyra, Tsz-Nga Wong
Should a central bank take over the provision of e-money, a circulable electronic liability? We discuss how e-money technology changes the tradeoff between public and private provision, and the tradeoff between e-money and a central bank's existing liabilities like bank notes and reserves.

Is a Cashless Society Problematic?

Staff discussion paper 2018-12 Walter Engert, Ben Fung, Scott Hendry
The use of bank notes in Canada for payments has declined consistently for some time, and similar trends are evident in other countries. This has led some observers to predict a cashless society in the future.
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Disclaimer

Bank of Canada staff produce research and analysis to support the work of the Bank and to advance knowledge in the fields of economics and finance. The research is non-partisan and evidence based. All research is produced independently from the Bank’s Governing Council. The views expressed in each paper or article are solely those of the authors and may differ from official Bank of Canada views.

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