Hongyu Xiao
Senior Economist
- Ph.D. in Applied Economics, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School of Business (2021)
Bio
Hongyu is a Senior Economist in the Currency Department/Economic Research and Analysis at the Bank of Canada. He is an Applied Microeconomist whose research focuses on Urban and Regional Economics, Economics of Innovation and Industrial Organization.
Staff research
We study access to Canadian retail banking and cash services in rural, localized markets using the Bresnahan-Reiss entry threshold framework. We find that the first retail banking services branch entry requires about 500 residents in an average market, whereas the first cash services location requires about 80 residents.
Incorporating Trip-Chaining to Measuring Canadians’ Access to Cash
Our paper employs smartphone data to construct an improved cash access metric by accounting for both spatial agglomeration and households’ travel patterns. We find that incorporating trip-chaining into the travel metric could show that travel costs are from 15 to 25% less than not incorporating trip-chaining and that the biggest decrease is driven by rural residents.
Canadians’ access to cash in 2023
This study updates our measure of Canadians' access to cash through automated banking machines and financial institution branches. We find that in 2023 overall access to cash remains stable, while rural Canadians continue having less access.
How do Canadians perceive access to cash?
This paper introduces a subjective measure of cash accessibility in Canada, complementing existing distance-based metrics developed by Chen, O’Habib and Xiao (2023). Analyzing data from the 2023 Methods-of-Payment Survey, this study explores how Canadians perceive their ease of accessing cash from automated banking machines (ABMs) and financial institution branches.
Demand for Canadian Banknotes from International Travel: Indirect Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic
This study uses the COVID-19 travel restrictions to estimate foreign demand for Canadian banknotes. It reveals that international visitors accounted for about 10% of all $100 CAD notes in circulation pre-pandemic, with each visitor carrying an average of $165 in hundred-dollar bills.
How Far Do Canadians Need to Travel to Access Cash?
This paper develops a travel-based metric to measure Canadians’ access to cash from automated banking machines (ABMs) and financial institution branches. We find that, overall, access to cash remained stable between 2019 and 2022. The total number of ABMs in Canada increased by 3.7% and the total number of branches decreased by 5.2% during that period.
Journal publications
Journal Articles
“Cultural Affinity, Regulation, and Market Structure: Evidence from the Canadian Retail Banking Industry”
(with Hector Perez-Saiz) in American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, vol. 14 – issue 1, p. 451-489, February 2022.
“Commuting and Innovation: Are Closer Inventors More Productive?”
(with Andy Wu and Jaeho Kim) in Journal of Urban Economics, vol. 121, p. 103300, January 2021.