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8760 Results

February 16, 2026

Family Day

Provincial holiday: Alberta, British Columbia, Nova Scotia and Ontario
Content Type(s): Upcoming events

Extraordinary Forward Guidance in Canada During the Pandemic

Staff analytical paper 2026-1 Christopher S. Sutherland
We consider two trade-offs inherent to extraordinary forward guidance (EFG): potency versus flexibility, and the credibility of forward guidance versus the credibility of inflation targeting. We argue that the form of EFG used by the Bank of Canada during the COVID‑19 pandemic balanced both trade-offs relatively well.

Housing and the Long-Term Real Effects of Changes in Trend Inflation

Staff working paper 2026-1 James (Jim) C. MacGee, Yuxi Yao
An economy with fixed amortization mortgages and borrowing-constrained consumers leads to the level of inflation targeted having real effects on home ownership, consumption, and debt. Using a life-cycle housing tenure choice model, we show that by front-loading real mortgage payments, higher inflation lowers steady-state home ownership and the mortgage-debt-to-income ratio.

Eugene Trostin

Eugene Trostin is a Quantitative Analyst in the Financial Markets Department at the Bank of Canada. His research combines financial economics and monetary policy, with a focus on using quantitative frameworks to interpret market dynamics. Eugene holds a B.A. in Economics from the University of Ottawa.
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