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Housing and the Long-Term Real Effects of Changes in Trend Inflation

Staff working paper 2026-1 James (Jim) C. MacGee, Yuxi Yao
An economy with fixed amortization mortgages and borrowing-constrained consumers leads to the level of inflation targeted having real effects on home ownership, consumption, and debt. Using a life-cycle housing tenure choice model, we show that by front-loading real mortgage payments, higher inflation lowers steady-state home ownership and the mortgage-debt-to-income ratio.

Eugene Trostin

Eugene Trostin is a Quantitative Analyst in the Financial Markets Department at the Bank of Canada. His research combines financial economics and monetary policy, with a focus on using quantitative frameworks to interpret market dynamics. Eugene holds a B.A. in Economics from the University of Ottawa.
February 9, 2026

Release: Market Participants Survey

10:30 (ET)
The Market Participants Survey is conducted quarterly. Bank of Canada staff reach out to a diverse set of participants in financial markets to gather their views on key macroeconomic and financial variables as well as on monetary policy.

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