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October 26, 2022

Monetary Policy Report – October 2022

Monetary Policy Report – October
While inflation has come off its peak, it remains too high. As the economy responds to higher interest rates and as the effects of elevated commodity prices and supply disruptions fade, the Bank expects inflation to fall to about 3% in late 2023, then return to 2% in 2024.
April 29, 2026

Monetary Policy Report—April 2026—In focus—

Sector-specific trade restrictions are adversely affecting the Canadian economy. Steel and lumber exports have declined significantly, while others have held up better in comparison. Overall, declines in exports have been less severe than expected, reflecting both business adaptability and government policy actions.

How Long is Forever in the Laboratory? Three Implementations of an Infinite-Horizon Monetary Economy

Staff working paper 2021-16 Janet Hua Jiang, Daniela Puzzello, Cathy Zhang
Standard monetary models adopt an infinite horizon with discounting. Testing these models in the lab requires implementing this horizon within a limited time frame. We compare three approaches to such an implementation and discuss their relative advantages.

Potential output and the neutral rate in Canada: 2021 update

We expect potential output growth to be higher than in the October 2020 reassessment. By 2024, growth will be slightly above its average growth from 2010 to 2019. We assess that the Canadian nominal neutral rate continues to lie in the range of 1.75 to 2.75 percent.
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