Assessing the Predictive Ability of Sovereign Default Risk on Exchange Rate Returns Staff working paper 2017-19 Claudia Foroni, Francesco Ravazzolo, Barbara Sadaba Increased sovereign credit risk is often associated with sharp currency movements. Therefore, expectations of the probability of a sovereign default event can convey important information regarding future movements of exchange rates. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C5, C52, C53, F, F3, F31 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, International markets and currencies, Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods
April 12, 2023 Bank of Canada maintains policy rate, continues quantitative tightening Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at 4½%, with the Bank Rate at 4¾% and the deposit rate at 4½%. The Bank is also continuing its policy of quantitative tightening. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
May 11, 2026 Market Participants Survey—First Quarter of 2026 The Market Participants Survey results are based on questionnaire responses from about 28 financial market participants. Content Type(s): Publications, Market Participants Survey
November 6, 2023 Market Participants Survey—Third Quarter of 2023 The Market Participants Survey results are based on questionnaire responses from about 30 financial market participants. Content Type(s): Publications, Market Participants Survey
May 13, 2004 Business Outlook Survey - Spring 2004 Businesses’ expectations for the pace of economic activity over the next 12 months remain positive, although somewhat less so than in the winter survey.Supplemental questions on the appreciation of the Canadian dollar - April 2004Supplemental questions on the appreciation of the Canadian dollar - February 2004 Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
November 2, 2011 Opening Statement before the Senate Standing Committee on National Finance Opening statement Mark Carney Senate Standing Committee on National Finance Ottawa, Ontario Good evening. Tiff and I are pleased to be here with you today to discuss retail price differentials between Canada and the United States. The mandate of the Bank of Canada is to enhance the well-being of Canadians by contributing to sustained economic growth. The single, most direct contribution that monetary policy can make to […] Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
Using Payments Data to Nowcast Macroeconomic Variables During the Onset of COVID-19 Staff working paper 2021-2 James Chapman, Ajit Desai We use retail payment data in conjunction with machine learning techniques to predict the effects of COVID-19 on the Canadian economy in near-real time. Our model yields a significant increase in macroeconomic prediction accuracy over a linear benchmark model. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C5, C53, C55, E, E3, E37, E4, E42, E5, E52 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting, Money and payments, Retail payments
November 12, 2020 Helping the economy after the COVID‑19 pandemic Speech summary Carolyn A. Wilkins Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy Toronto, Ontario The pandemic won’t last forever. Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins talks about what the economy will need once we’re past the COVID-19 crisis. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Subject(s): Financial system, Financial stability, Funds management, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation targeting framework
January 11, 2021 Business Outlook Survey - data by firm size (four-quarter moving averages) Access quarterly results from the Business Outlook Survey (BOS) based on interviews with small, medium-sized and large firms.
February 8, 2023 Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of January 25, 2023 This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on January 25, 2023. Content Type(s): Publications, Summary of deliberations