November 17, 2011 Extracting Information from the Business Outlook Survey: A Principal-Component Approach Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2011 Lise Pichette, Lori Rennison This article reviews recent work that uses principal-component analysis to extract information common to indicators from the Bank of Canada’s Business Outlook Survey (BOS). The authors use correlation analysis and an out-of-sample forecasting exercise to assess and compare the information content of the principal component with that of responses to key individual survey questions on growth in real gross domestic product and in real business investment. Results suggest that summarizing the common movements among BOS indicators may provide useful information for forecasting near-term growth in business investment. For growth in real gross domestic product, however, the survey’s balance of opinion on future sales growth appears to be more informative. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
Identifying Consumer-Welfare Changes when Online Search Platforms Change Their List of Search Results Staff working paper 2020-5 Ryan Martin Online shopping is often guided by search platforms. Consumers type keywords into query boxes, and search platforms deliver a list of products. Consumers' attention is limited, and exhaustive searches are often impractical. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C1, C14, D, D1, D11, D12, D6, D8, D83, L, L4, L40 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market structure, Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods
October 29, 2025 Monetary Policy Report—October 2025—Projections Economic growth in Canada is projected to strengthen from around 0.75% in the second half of 2025, with annual growth averaging 1.4% over 2026 and 2027. Inflation is expected to remain around 2% over the projection horizon.
April 4, 2022 Chartered banks: Home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) Quarter-end data on chartered bank HELOCs and related products for residential secured lending whose properties are located in Canada (excluding business loans). Content Type(s): Banking and financial statistics
April 4, 2022 Chartered banks: Home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) Quarter-end data on chartered bank HELOCs and related products for residential secured lending whose properties are located in Canada (excluding business loans).
January 10, 2019 Bank of Canada publishes the Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group principles for enhancements to fallback language The Bank of Canada today published the Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group (CARR) principles for enhancements to fallback language for cash products. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
November 24, 2004 Opening Statement before the Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Opening statement David Dodge Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce The Canadian economy grew faster in the first half of the year than we had projected, largely because of a surge in exports. The economy is now operating near its production capacity and continues to adjust to global developments. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
Characterizing Canada’s Export Sector by Industry: A Supply-Side Perspective Staff analytical note 2018-27 Taylor Webley This note examines supply-side trends in Canadian non-energy industries and their implications for export performance. Between 2002 and 2016, capital stocks and total labour input declined in many industries that export non-energy goods. These soft trends in the factors of production have likely contributed to the decline in non-energy exports in about half of the goods industries analyzed in this note. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E2, E22, E23, E24, F, F1, F19 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Digitalization and productivity, International trade, finance and competitiveness
June 18, 2010 Fortune Favours the Bold Remarks Mark Carney Newfoundland Oil & Gas Industries Association St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador From the end of 2008 to the middle of last year, Canada experienced a short, sharp recession. With the exception of government spending, all major components of aggregate demand declined, and industrial production dropped 15 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
A Primer on the Canadian Bankers’ Acceptance Market Staff discussion paper 2018-6 Kaetlynd McRae, Danny Auger This paper discusses how the bankers’ acceptance (BA) market in Canada is organized and its essential link to the Canadian Dollar Offered Rate (CDOR). Globally, BAs are a niche product used only in a limited number of jurisdictions. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): G, G1, G18, G2, G21, G23 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market functioning, Market structure