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3504 Results

Assessing the effects of higher immigration on the Canadian economy and inflation

We assess the complex macroeconomic implications of Canada’s recent population increases. We find that newcomers significantly boost the non-inflationary, potential growth of the economy, but existing imbalances in the housing sector may be exacerbated. Greater housing supply is needed to complement the long-term economic benefits of population growth.

Jamie Armour

Jamie is a Manager in Payment and Settlement Operations in the Banking and Payments Department (BAP).
November 3, 2003

On Economic Education

Remarks David Dodge David Dodge Tribute Dinner hosted by the Canadian Foundation of Economic Education Toronto, Ontario
The program this evening focuses on the value of public service and the importance of economic and financial literacy for the well-being of Canadians. These two themes have special significance for me, as my career has involved time spent in the public service as well as teaching.

Do Firms’ Sales Expectations Hit the Mark? Evidence from the Business Leaders’ Pulse

Staff discussion paper 2025-15 Owen Gaboury, Farrukh Suvankulov, Mathieu Utting
We analyze Canadian data from the Bank of Canada’s Business Leaders’ Pulse, examining firms’ sales growth expectations. We find that expected growth predicts outcomes, uncertainty influences forecast errors and revisions, and firms with weak past performance anticipate and experience weaker future growth. These results highlight the survey’s value for understanding business expectations.

The Neutral Rate in Canada: 2019 Update

Staff analytical note 2019-11 Thomas J. Carter, Xin Scott Chen, José Dorich
This note provides an update on Bank of Canada staff’s assessment of the Canadian neutral rate. The neutral rate is the policy rate needed to keep output at its potential level and inflation at target once the effects of any cyclical shocks have dissipated. This medium- to long-run concept serves as a benchmark for gauging the degree of monetary stimulus provided by a given policy setting.
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