The contribution of firm profits to the recent rise in inflation Staff analytical note 2023-12 Panagiotis Bouras, Christian Bustamante, Xing Guo, Jacob Short We measure the contribution to inflation from the growth in markups of Canadian firms. The dynamics of inflation and markups suggest that changes in markups could account for less than one-tenth of inflation in 2021. Further, they suggest that peak inflation was driven primarily by changes in the costs of firms. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): D, D2, D22, D4, E, E3, E31, L, L1, L11 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market functioning, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures
October 2, 2025 Underlying inflation: Separating the signal from the noise Remarks Rhys R. Mendes Ivey Business School London, Ontario Deputy Governor Rhys Mendes speaks about how the Bank of Canada assesses underlying inflation, including the use of measures of core inflation. He also touches on the renewal of the monetary policy framework, which happens in 2026. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economic models, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
May 30, 1997 Flexible Exchange Rates in a World of Low Inflation Remarks Gordon Thiessen FOREX '97 Conference Toronto, Ontario There is a good deal of discussion these days about Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) in Europe - about the benefits and difficulties of organizing such a union. However, today I would like to examine a somewhat different issue, one that is at the other end of the spectrum; namely, How is the international system of flexible exchange rates working these days? Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
On the Wedge Between the PPI and CPI Inflation Indicators Staff working paper 2022-5 Shang-Jin Wei, Yinxi Xie We find that the CPI and PPI inflation indexes co-moved strongly throughout the late 20th century, but their correlation has fallen substantially since the early 2000s. We offer a structural explanation for this divergence based on the growth of global supply chains since 2000. This finding offers a unique perspective for the future design of optimal monetary policy. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E5, E52, E58, F, F1, F11, F12, F4, F41, F6, F62 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Structural challenges, International trade, finance and competitiveness
January 29, 2003 Monetary Policy Protects Canada from Persistent Inflation and Deflation, Governor Says Media Relations Toronto, Ontario In a speech to the Speakers Forum, Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge said today that Canada's macroeconomic policy framework is protecting the economy from both persistently high inflation and the threat of deflation. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
Core inflation over the COVID-19 pandemic Staff analytical note 2022-17 Mikael Khan, Elyse Sullivan We assess the usefulness of various measures of core inflation over the COVID-19 pandemic. We find that Cpi-trim and CPI-median provided the best signal of underlying inflation. The favourable performance of these measures stems from their lack of reliance on historical experience, an especially valuable feature in unprecedented times. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): C, C1, C18, E, E3, E31 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission
December 21, 2023 How higher interest rates affect inflation When the Bank of Canada changes its policy interest rate, it affects every part of the economy – but that does not happen all at once. Learn more about how raising and lowering interest rates takes effect through the monetary policy transmission mechanism. Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
June 24, 2024 Workers, jobs, growth and inflation—Today and tomorrow Remarks Tiff Macklem Winnipeg Chamber of Commerce Winnipeg, Manitoba Governor Tiff Macklem explains why Canada’s labour market has had a fairly smooth adjustment to slowing economic growth. He also discusses Canada’s labour market advantages and the challenge of improving productivity growth and investment. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economic models, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
December 13, 2007 Central Bank Performance under Inflation Targeting Bank of Canada Review - Winter 2007-2008 Marc-André Gosselin Gosselin examines and reports on the various factors that contribute to successful inflation targeting. Using a panel of 21 inflation-targeting countries over the period 1990Q1-2007Q2, Gosselin finds that the ability of central banks to hit their targets varies considerably. Some of these differences can be explained by exchange rate fluctuations, fiscal deficits, and differences in financial development. Others are explained by differences in the targeting framework itself and the manner in which it is implemented. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
November 11, 2009 Declining Inflation Persistence in Canada: Causes and Consequences Bank of Canada Review - Winter 2009-2010 Rhys R. Mendes, Stephen Murchison The persistence of both core and total consumer price index inflation in Canada has declined significantly since the 1980s. In addition to providing up-to-date estimates of inflation persistence, this article examines possible reasons for the decline suggested in the literature. The role played by monetary policy, through its effect on price- and wage-setting behaviour, is distinguished from possible changes to the structure of the economy that are independent of monetary policy. The authors also discuss the implications for monetary policy of low structural persistence in inflation, including the choice of an inflation-targeting regime versus a price-level-targeting regime. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles