Production Networks and the Propagation of Commodity Price Shocks Staff working paper 2020-44 Shutao Cao, Wei Dong We examine the macro implications of commodity price shocks in a model with multiple production sectors that are interconnected within a commodity-exporting small open economy. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): D, D5, D57, F, F4, F41 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, International trade, finance and competitiveness
February 8, 2023 Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of January 25, 2023 This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on January 25, 2023. Content Type(s): Publications, Summary of deliberations
April 13, 2022 Monetary Policy Report – April 2022 Canadian economic activity remains strong, and employment is robust. The Bank is forecasting growth of about 4¼% in 2022, easing to 3¼% in 2023. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
September 10, 2020 Economic progress report: a very uneven recovery Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem The Canadian Chamber of Commerce Ottawa, Ontario Governor Tiff Macklem discusses the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and explains the uneven impact that the COVID-19 pandemic is having on different sectors and people. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
October 7, 2016 Business Outlook Survey - Autumn 2016 The autumn Business Outlook Survey provides some signs of improving business prospects, as resource-related activity appears to be gradually bottoming out and foreign demand is providing steady support to firms’ sales expectations. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
The Macroeconomic Effects of Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model Staff working paper 2018-11 Stefan Hohberger, Romanos Priftis, Lukas Vogel This paper estimates an open-economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with Bayesian techniques to analyse the macroeconomic effects of the European Central Bank’s (ECB’s) quantitative easing (QE) programme. Using data on government debt stocks and yields across maturities, we identify the parameter governing portfolio adjustment in the private sector. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, E5, E52, F, F4, F41 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Monetary policy tools and implementation
November 16, 1998 Monetary Policy Report – November 1998 During the past six months, global economic uncertainties have intensified, largely as a result of developments in emerging-market economies. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
November 16, 2017 Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2017 Is shale oil production in the United States a factor in the 2014 oil price decline? Which methods of payment are commonly accepted by merchants in Canada? Bank researchers share their insights on these topics. They also provide an update on the neutral rate of interest as well as on changes to the Bank’s operational framework for market operations. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review
April 1, 2016 Business Outlook Survey - Spring 2016 Business sentiment in the spring Business Outlook Survey improved but remains subdued overall. The positive impetus coming from sustained foreign demand continues to be largely offset by the persistent drag and spillovers from the oil price shock. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
July 5, 2021 Business Outlook Survey—Summer 2021 Results from the summer Business Outlook Survey point to continued improvement in business sentiment. Firms tied to high-contact services still face challenges but are becoming more confident that sales will pick up as vaccination rates rise. This suggests an important broadening in the recovery ahead. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey