September 19, 2023 Rebalancing the economy while managing risks Remarks Sharon Kozicki University of Regina Regina, Saskatchewan Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki talks about how household differences have affected the way that monetary policy is transmitted. She also discusses how the Bank is considering the role of mortgage interest costs in inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
Does US or Canadian Macro News Drive Canadian Bond Yields? Staff analytical note 2018-38 Bruno Feunou, Rodrigo Sekkel, Morvan Nongni-Donfack We show that a large share of low-frequency (quarterly) movements in Canadian government bond yields can be explained by macroeconomic news, even though high-frequency (daily) changes are driven by other shocks. Furthermore, we show that US macro news—not domestic news— explains most of the quarterly variation in Canadian bond yields. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, E, E4, E43 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market functioning, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Structural challenges, International trade, finance and competitiveness
Fundamental Drivers of Existing Home Sales in Canada Staff discussion paper 2018-16 Taylor Webley Existing home sales’ share of Canada’s economic pie has been rising in recent years, and variation around this trend has resulted in outsized contributions to changes in real gross domestic product (GDP). In this context, we use a cointegration framework to estimate the level of resale activity across the Canadian provinces that is supported by fundamentals—namely, full-time employment, housing affordability and migration flows—to help look through the volatility. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C23, E, E2, E27, R, R2, R21 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Household and business credit, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting
April 29, 2026 Monetary Policy Report—April 2026—Projections The outlook for Canadian economic growth in 2026 and 2027 is evolving generally as anticipated. Inflation is expected to increase in 2026 due to higher gasoline prices caused by the war in the Middle East. It will then ease in 2027 as oil prices are assumed to moderate.
October 29, 2025 Monetary Policy Report—October 2025—Projections Economic growth in Canada is projected to strengthen from around 0.75% in the second half of 2025, with annual growth averaging 1.4% over 2026 and 2027. Inflation is expected to remain around 2% over the projection horizon.
April 15, 2020 Monetary Policy Report – April 2020 Canada’s economy faces two significant shocks—the plunge in global oil prices and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
July 17, 2008 Monetary Policy Report Update – July 2008 Three major developments are affecting the Canadian economy: the protracted weakness in the U.S. economy; ongoing turbulence in global financial markets; and sharp increases in the prices of certain commodities — particularly energy. The first two developments are evolving roughly in line with expectations outlined in the April Monetary Policy Report. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
February 1, 2024 Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Opening statement Tiff Macklem House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Ottawa, Ontario Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
February 8, 2023 Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of January 25, 2023 This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on January 25, 2023. Content Type(s): Publications, Summary of deliberations