Staff analytical notes

Staff analytical notes are short articles that focus on topical issues relevant to the current economic and financial context.

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262 result(s)

Predictive Ability of Commodity Prices for the Canadian Dollar

Staff analytical note 2016-2 Kimberly Berg, Pierre Guérin, Yuko Imura
Recent sharp declines in commodity prices and the simultaneous depreciation of the Canadian dollar (CAD) relative to the U.S. dollar (USD) have rekindled an interest in the relationship between commodity prices and the CAD-USD exchange rate.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, International markets and currencies, Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods

The Complex Adjustment of the Canadian Economy to Lower Commodity Prices

Staff analytical note 2016-1 Julien Champagne, Nikita Perevalov, Hope Pioro, Dany Brouillette, Andrew Agopsowicz
In this analytical note, we provide a comprehensive assessment of the complex structural adjustment facing the Canadian economy following the commodity price decline since mid-2014. We quantify separately the impacts coming from the commodity sector restructuring and the broader effect of significantly lower terms of trade.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E1, E17, E2, E27, E5, E52, J, J2, Q, Q0, Q00 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, International trade, finance and competitiveness
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