COVID-19 and the economy
The COVID-19 pandemic represents a serious health threat to people around the world, and a significant disruption to daily life. It is having a major impact on the global and Canadian economies. Every sector of the Canadian economy will be affected. Some sectors, such as the energy, travel and hospitality and service industries, are being particularly hard hit.
The public health actions needed to contain the spread of the virus, such as school closures, states of emergency, and social distancing measures, while necessary, are themselves going to significantly impact economic activity.
However, it’s important to underscore that while the impact is large, it will be temporary. Authorities around the world have taken bold and necessary measures to contain the spread of the virus and to support people and businesses through a very challenging time.
What the Bank is doing
Our immediate goal is to help Canadians bridge this difficult period by making credit affordable and available. As many economic activities are temporarily shut down, companies rely on credit to continue to pay their employees, and households need credit to continue spending to meet their basic needs. But they may be unable to borrow if financial turmoil curtails lending activity.
The central bank must therefore intervene to prevent a sudden contraction of credit when credit is most needed. If Canadians can’t borrow to weather this economic storm, the impact on the economy would be worse, the recovery will take longer and there will be long-lasting damage to Canada’s productive capacity.
Achieving our primary mandate of keeping inflation close to target requires us to stabilize the economy and employment first. In normal times, we can achieve our inflation objective by setting the policy interest rate at the appropriate level. However, during major disruptions to the economy and financial markets such as those we are experiencing with COVID-19, we need to take more comprehensive measures to ensure that the financial system continues to play its role of providing credit where it is needed.
For these reasons, the Bank of Canada is acting in several ways to support the economy and financial system and stands ready to take any and all actions that we can to protect the well-being of Canadians during this difficult time.
We have lowered interest rates to support economic activity and keep inflation low and stable. These moves work by lowering payments on existing and new loans throughout the economy. The Bank has additional tools in its monetary policy toolkit that can be used to further support the economy and achieve the inflation target.
Support to key financial markets
We are intervening to support key financial markets to ensure they continue to function properly.
In times of market turmoil, financial institutions may be reluctant to act in their normal role as market makers for bonds and other financial assets. Market makers hold inventories of securities and quote prices at which they will buy and sell—activities that may become prohibitively risky when the prices of these securities are fluctuating widely. Buyers and sellers may then find it difficult to trade—in other words, the market becomes illiquid.
This is particularly problematic in the case of friction in the market for Government of Canada bonds, which are often held as the safest Canadian-dollar asset. Those holding a bond may find it difficult to sell it to obtain cash, while those wishing to buy a bond for its safety may be unable to obtain it. Given the central role of Government of Canada bonds, including as a benchmark for other interest rates, such market illiquidity can have pervasive effects through the financial system.
As key financial markets have become strained during this period, the Bank has established several programs to increase liquidity in core funding markets.
- To address strains in the Government of Canada bond market and to enhance the effectiveness of all the other actions we have taken to support core funding markets, we launched a program to purchase Government of Canada securities in the secondary market.
- Financial institutions use Canada Mortgage Bonds (CMBs) to finance their mortgage lending to Canadian homeowners. The functioning of this market was also becoming impaired amid broader market turmoil. In response, the Bank of Canada introduced a program of purchasing CMBs. This helps provide the means for financial institutions to renew mortgages during this period, as well as supports the flow of credit more generally.
- The Bankers’ Acceptance Purchase Facility (BAPF) supports a key source of financing for small and medium-sized corporate borrowers.
- The Provincial Money Market Purchase (PMMP) program is an asset purchase facility that will support a liquid and well-functioning market for short-term provincial borrowing.
- The Commercial Paper Purchase Program (CPPP) supports the flow of credit to the economy by alleviating strains in Canada’s commercial paper markets, a key source of short-term financing to support the ongoing needs of a wide range of firms and public authorities.
These interventions, which involve acquiring financial assets and lending to financial institutions, increase the size of the Bank’s balance sheet. This balance sheet expansion, in conjunction with our other actions, helps get the financial system functioning properly. A well-functioning financial system helps the economy recover once the restrictions to contain the virus have been lifted.
Liquidity support for financial institutions
Given that the size and duration of the impact of COVID-19 are highly uncertain, credit markets may become impaired. This is both because financial institutions face difficulties in obtaining funding for their lending as well as because they may become reluctant to lend in fear that many borrowers may be unable to pay. The problem of funding is partly system-wide and partly specific to individual institutions: in the context of market turmoil there is a generalized desire for safer assets, but even if that demand is satisfied in aggregate, some financial institutions may have difficulty obtaining funding.
Our interventions include enhancing our standard liquidity tools such as term repo operations and the Standard Liquidity Facility to provide ready access to funding. We have lengthened the term over which we lend money to banks, widened the collateral we accept to provide lending, and expanded the list of eligible institutions that can access our lending. Widening accepted collateral helps in two ways: it enables institutions holding that collateral to obtain financing so they can continue other lending, and it supports the functioning of markets for those assets accepted as collateral.
At the same time we have established a new Standing Term Liquidity Facility (STLF) to help banks better manage their liquidity risks and continue to provide their customers with access to credit. To access the STLF, financial institutions can pledge a broader set of collateral, including mortgages, which significantly increases their funding capacity. The Bank of Canada encourages the use of the STLF by banks to help them continue to provide loans to households and businesses when they need it most.
We have also activated the Contingent Term Repo Facility (CTRF) which offers eligible counterparties liquidity on a standing, bilateral basis against securities issued or guaranteed by the Government of Canada or a provincial government.
Our actions work together
The actions we are taking are mutually reinforcing:
- Liquidity support for financial institutions improves market functioning
- Well-functioning markets positively affect the ability of financial institutions to operate
- Monetary policy easing (a lower interest rate) is more effective when markets are functioning, and banks have the liquidity they need to lend to business and households.
The Bank is also coordinating its actions with international policy makers, such as G7 central banks, and economic and financial partners in Canada.
For example, during the global financial crisis of 2007–08, the Bank established US-dollar swap lines with other central banks to ensure Canada’s financial institutions have access to US dollars. Most Canadian banks have US branches or subsidiaries and thus have access to US-dollar funding through the Federal Reserve’s discount window, so these swap lines weren’t used at the time. Nevertheless, should a Canadian bank need to borrow in US dollars, the swap lines give the Bank of Canada the ability to meet that need. This facility provides the Bank with additional flexibility to address rapidly evolving developments in financial markets.
Speeches and Statements
The Bank will continue to ensure Canadians have access to up-to-date information on its actions to support the economy and promote a safe and sound financial system in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic.