Research

High-quality, innovative research underpins everything we do. Explore the broad range of staff research that our people have the intellectual freedom to pursue, and learn about the ways in which the Bank collaborates with and supports the external research community.

You can also browse all our research and subscribe to our research newsletter and latest research feed.

Staff research

Staff research is produced independently from the Bank’s Governing Council. This research may support or challenge prevailing policy orthodoxy or differ from official Bank views. Therefore, views expressed are solely those of the authors, and no responsibility for them should be attributed to the Bank.

Staff analytical notes

Staff analytical notes are short articles that focus on topical issues relevant to the current economic and financial context.

Staff working papers

Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.

Staff discussion papers

Staff discussion papers are completed staff research studies on a wide variety of subjects relevant to central bank policy.

Technical reports

Technical reports provide detailed descriptions of staff research project methodologies and model development.

Research leadership

Profiles of the Bank’s economic research leadership, featuring their publications, education, and research fields.

Research staff

Profiles of the Bank’s research staff, featuring their publications, education and research fields.

Authors

Listing of current and past authors of Bank research papers, articles and other publications, 1994 to present.


Collaboration

Financial System Research Centre

The FSRC promotes financial system research in Canada to inform policy and improve the economic and financial well-being of Canadians.

Visiting Scholar Program

This program provides outstanding scholars with an opportunity to work at the Bank of Canada.

Conferences and workshops

Papers and proceedings from Bank of Canada conferences and workshops

Partnerships in Innovation and Technology (PIVOT) Program

We’re looking for innovators to help us respond to challenges that may not have a commercial solution readily available.


Awards

Research paper awards

At the Bank of Canada, we’re pleased to offer awards for research papers by students and by staff.

Scholarship awards

The Bank of Canada’s Scholarship and Work Placement program is designed to assist students with disabilities and Indigenous students in furthering their education and to encourage them to take an interest in the work performed by the Bank of Canada.

Fellowship Program

Learn more about a program to foster excellence in research in Canada and develop partnerships with experts outside the Bank of Canada in areas important to the Bank’s mandate.

The Governor's Challenge

The Governor’s Challenge simulates the monetary policy decision-making process by putting students in the role of advisor to the Bank’s Governing Council.


Browse research

Find Bank of Canada research by keyword, author, content type, JEL code, topic or date of publication.

Research newsletters

Our newsletter summarizes internal and external publication contributions by Bank of Canada researchers.

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Latest research

BoC–BoE Sovereign Default Database: What’s new in 2025?

Staff Analytical Note 2025-24 David Beers, Obiageri Ndukwe, Joe Berry
The BoC–BoE database of sovereign debt defaults, published and updated annually by the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, provides comprehensive estimates of stocks of government obligations in default. The 2025 edition highlights a decline in the US-dollar value of sovereign debt in default and provides more data about defaults on China’s official loans.

Household balance sheets and mortgage payment shocks

Staff Analytical Note 2025-23 Thomas Michael Pugh, Saarah Sheikh, Taylor Webley
Household savings in Canada have increased significantly since 2019, especially among homeowners without a mortgage. We assess how savings buffers can mitigate households’ financial risk in relation to asset repricing, mortgage payment renewal and unemployment.

The increasing role of hedge funds in Government of Canada bond auctions

Staff Analytical Note 2025-22 Adam Epp, Jeffrey Gao
We find that the rise in Government of Canada debt issuance correlates to growing participation of hedge funds in bond auctions since 2020. This increased participation supports the cost-effective distribution of Canada’s debt, but it also represents a potential vulnerability because hedge funds have a greater flight risk than other investor types.

Simulating the Resilience of the Canadian Banking Sector Under Stress: An Update of the Bank of Canada’s Top-Down Solvency Assessment Tool

We present a technical description of the Top-Down Solvency Assessment (TDSA) tool. As a solvency stress-testing tool, TDSA is used to assess the banking sector’s capital resilience to hypothetical future risk scenarios.

Credit Conditions, Inflation, and Unemployment

Staff Working Paper 2025-26 Chao Gu, Janet Hua Jiang, Liang Wang
We identify two channels that affect the relationship between inflation and unemployment. First, inflation lowers wages because unemployed suffer more from inflation than employed, generating a positive relationship. Second, inflation increases firms’ financing costs, generating a negative relationship. Improvements in firm financing conditions can induce the relationship to switch signs.

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