September 8, 2022 Getting inflation back to normal Speech summary Carolyn Rogers Calgary Economic Development Calgary, Alberta Speaking a day after the Bank of Canada raised interest rates, Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers discusses where the economy stands and what the Bank is doing to get inflation back under control. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Interest rates
September 8, 2022 Economic progress report: Restoring price stability Remarks Carolyn Rogers Calgary Economic Development Calgary, Alberta Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers provides an economic update and discusses why the Bank is raising rates fast to tackle high inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Interest rates
June 2, 2022 Economic progress report: Navigating a high inflation environment Remarks (delivered virtually) Paul Beaudry Gatineau Chamber of Commerce Gatineau, Quebec Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry talks about the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and the importance of keeping inflation expectations well anchored to prevent high inflation from becoming entrenched. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Credibility, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy implementation, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments
June 2, 2022 Navigating high inflation Speech summary Paul Beaudry Gatineau Chamber of Commerce Gatineau, Quebec On June 1, the Bank of Canada decided to increase its policy interest rate by half a percentage point. Speaking the next day, Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry explains why inflation has been higher than expected and what we are doing to get it back to our 2% target. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Credibility, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy implementation, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments
May 12, 2022 The perfect storm Remarks Toni Gravelle Association des économistes québécois Montréal, Quebec Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle discusses the commodity price shock and its implications for the Canadian economy and monetary policy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Exchange rates, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation: costs and benefits, Interest rates, International topics, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Recent economic and financial developments
May 12, 2022 How commodity prices affect our economy Speech summary Toni Gravelle Association des économistes québécois Montréal, Quebec Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle talks about the spike in commodity prices over the past two years, the impact on inflation and how the Bank of Canada is responding. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Exchange rates, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation: costs and benefits, Interest rates, International topics, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Recent economic and financial developments
Expectation-Driven Term Structure of Equity and Bond Yields Staff Working Paper 2022-21 Ming Zeng, Guihai Zhao Recent findings on the term structure of equity and bond yields pose serious challenges to existing models of equilibrium asset pricing. This paper presents a new equilibrium model of subjective expectations to explain the joint historical dynamics of equity and bond yields (and their yield spreads). Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Asset pricing, Financial markets, Interest rates JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, G, G0, G00, G1, G12
Assessing global potential output growth and the US neutral rate: April 2022 Staff Analytical Note 2022-4 Kyle Boutilier, Thomas J. Carter, Xin Scott Chen, Eshini Ekanayake, Louis Poirier, Peter Shannon, Akash Uppal, Lin Xiang We expect global potential output growth to increase from 2.7% in 2021 to 2.9% by 2024. Compared with the April 2021 assessment, global potential output growth is marginally slower. The current range for the US neutral rate is 2% to 3%, 0.25 percentage points higher than staff’s last assessment. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Interest rates, Monetary policy, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E1, E2, E4, E5, F, F0, O, O4
Potential output and the neutral rate in Canada: 2022 reassessment Staff Analytical Note 2022-3 Guyllaume Faucher, Christopher Hajzler, Martin Kuncl, Dmitry Matveev, Youngmin Park, Temel Taskin We expect potential output growth to be lower in 2021 than anticipated in the April 2021 assessment. By 2025, growth is expected to reach 2.3%. We assess that the Canadian nominal neutral rate increased slightly to lie in the range of 2.00% to 3.00%. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Economic models, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E2, E3, E4, E5
March 3, 2022 Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Opening statement (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Ottawa, Ontario Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy implementation, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments