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10:30 (ET)
The Business Outlook Survey is a summary of interviews conducted by the Bank's regional offices with business leaders from about 100 firms, selected in accordance with the composition of Canada's gross domestic product. The Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations is a quarterly survey aimed at measuring household views of inflation, the labour market and household finances, as well as topical issues of interest to the Bank of Canada.

National holiday

13:30 (ET)
A summary of monetary policy deliberations by the Governing Council for the policy decision that was announced two weeks earlier.

Brandon Chamber of Commerce
Brandon, MB

09:45 (ET)
On eight scheduled dates each year, the Bank of Canada announces the setting for the overnight rate target in a press release explaining the factors behind the decision.

This paper examines the interaction between quantitative easing (QE) and the securities lending facility (SLF) using a detailed dataset on Riksbank QE purchases, Swedish DMO SLF transactions and OTC repo deals. A theoretical model further shows how excess demand for assets and search frictions shift the SLF from a backstop to a first-resort tool.

Statistical inference--both estimation and testing--for stochastic volatility (SV) models is known to be challenging and computationally demanding. We propose simple and efficient estimators for SV models with conditionally heavy-tailed error distributions, particularly the Student’s t and Generalized Exponential Distributions (GED). The estimators rely on a small set of moment conditions derived from ARMA-type representations of SV models, with an option to apply “winsorization” to improve stability and finite-sample performance. Except for the degrees of-freedom parameter, closed-form expressions are available for all other parameters, extending Ahsan and Dufour (2019, 2021), thus eliminating the need for numerical optimization or initial values. We derive the estimators’ asymptotic distribution and show that, due to their analytical tractability, they support reliable, and even exact, simulation-based inference via Monte Carlo or bootstrap methods. We assess their performance through extensive simulations and demonstrate their practical relevance in financial return data, which strongly reject the normality assumption in favor of heavy-tailed models.

In the field of economics, on average, women tend to produce fewer research articles and be cited less often than men. But this appears to be changing. A newly compiled dataset about scholars at top universities around the world helps us identify where individual gender gaps exist.

The Governor’s Challenge (GC) by the Bank of Canada marked its tenth year as a successful outreach and education initiative, designed to strengthen public understanding of macroeconomics and monetary policy.

The Bank of Canada (BoC), RBC Capital Markets, RBC Investor Services, TD Bank Group (TD), and Export Development Canada (EDC) successfully completed Project Samara, a collaborative initiative to evaluate how tokenization and distributed ledger technology (DLT) can improve bond issuance and settlement in a real-world setting.