On the Wedge Between the PPI and CPI Inflation Indicators Staff working paper 2022-5 Shang-Jin Wei, Yinxi Xie We find that the CPI and PPI inflation indexes co-moved strongly throughout the late 20th century, but their correlation has fallen substantially since the early 2000s. We offer a structural explanation for this divergence based on the growth of global supply chains since 2000. This finding offers a unique perspective for the future design of optimal monetary policy. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E5, E52, E58, F, F1, F11, F12, F4, F41, F6, F62 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Structural challenges, International trade, finance and competitiveness
January 26, 2022 Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement Opening statement Tiff Macklem Ottawa, Ontario Governor Tiff Macklem discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision and the MPR. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
January 26, 2022 Bank of Canada maintains policy rate, removes exceptional forward guidance Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at the effective lower bound of ¼ %, with the Bank Rate at ½ % and the deposit rate at ¼ %. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
January 26, 2022 Monetary Policy Report – January 2022 The Canadian economy entered 2022 in a strong position. The Bank is forecasting growth of 4% in 2022 and about 3½ % in 2023. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
January 25, 2022 CFEC Releases Results of October 2021 Foreign Exchange Volume Survey The Canadian Foreign Exchange Committee (CFEC) released today the results of its October 2021 semi-annual survey of foreign exchange volumes in Canada. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Foreign Exchange Committee
January 24, 2022 Operational details for upcoming secondary market purchases of Government of Canada securities (January 31-February 11) As previously announced, the Bank of Canada (the Bank) launched on April 1, 2020 a program to purchase Government of Canada securities in the secondary market – the Government Bond Purchase Program (GBPP). Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Government of Canada Bond Purchase Program
January 18, 2022 CARR Meeting (January 18, 2022) Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
January 17, 2022 Business Outlook Survey―Fourth Quarter of 2021 In the fourth-quarter Business Outlook Survey, reports of supply chain bottlenecks and labour shortages remain elevated. Firms cited robust growth in demand, although those offering hard-to-distance services still had sales below pre-pandemic levels, even before the Omicron variant began spreading broadly. These factors are resulting in upward pressures on prices over the next year. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey