July 12, 2023 Bank of Canada raises policy rate 25 basis points, continues quantitative tightening Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today increased its target for the overnight rate to 5%, with the Bank Rate at 5¼% and the deposit rate at 5%. The Bank is also continuing its policy of quantitative tightening. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
July 12, 2023 Monetary Policy Report – July 2023 Inflation in Canada and around the world has been coming down. The Bank projects that inflation will stay around 3% for the next year, returning to the 2% target by the middle of 2025. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
June 30, 2023 Exploring global value and supply chains Patrick Alexander, Chris D'Souza, Yuko Imura, Lena Suchanek The things we buy come out of complex production chains that span the globe. Understanding these connections is crucial for today's economies. Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Subject(s): Currency, Digital currency, Financial system, Financial markets, Fintech, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth
June 30, 2023 Canada’s regional economies David Amirault, Matthieu Verstraete, Sarah Miller Strength from diversity Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Subject(s): Financial system, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth
June 30, 2023 Quarterly Research Update – 2023 Q2 This newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
June 30, 2023 CARR releases its recommendations for legacy securities tied to CDOR Today, the Canadian Alternative Reference Rate working group (CARR) published its paper on legacy securities linked to CDOR (i.e. securities referencing CDOR that mature after CDOR’s cessation). Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
Global Demand and Supply Sentiment: Evidence from Earnings Calls Staff working paper 2023-37 Temel Taskin, Franz Ulrich Ruch This paper quantifies global demand, supply and uncertainty shocks and compares two major global recessions: the 2008–09 Great Recession and the COVID-19 pandemic. We use two alternate approaches to decompose economic shocks: text mining techniques on earnings calls transcripts and a structural Bayesian vector autoregression model. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C1, C11, C3, C32, E, E3, E32, G, G1, G10 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting
June 30, 2023 Business Outlook Survey—Second Quarter of 2023 Results from the Business Outlook Survey for the second quarter of 2023, along with those from the April, May and June 2023 Business Leaders’ Pulse surveys, suggest that capacity pressures remain elevated and expectations of significant price increases continue to be widespread. Firms anticipate that sales growth will begin to moderate from exceptionally high rates as signs of greater uncertainty emerge. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey