Assessing the effects of higher immigration on the Canadian economy and inflation Staff analytical note 2023-17 Julien Champagne, Erik Ens, Xing Guo, Olena Kostyshyna, Alexander Lam, Corinne Luu, Sarah Miller, Patrick Sabourin, Joshua Slive, Temel Taskin, Jaime Trujillo, Shu Lin Wee We assess the complex macroeconomic implications of Canada’s recent population increases. We find that newcomers significantly boost the non-inflationary, potential growth of the economy, but existing imbalances in the housing sector may be exacerbated. Greater housing supply is needed to complement the long-term economic benefits of population growth. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): A, A1, A10, E, E2, E20, E3, E31, J, J1, J11, J15 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply
December 7, 2023 Economic progress report: Immigration, housing and the outlook for inflation Remarks Toni Gravelle Windsor–Essex Regional Chamber of Commerce Windsor, Ontario Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle discusses the latest interest rate decision along with how immigration helps Canada’s economy and how it impacts inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation
December 7, 2023 What population growth means for the economy and inflation Speech summary Toni Gravelle Windsor-Essex Regional Chamber of Commerce Windsor, Ontario Speaking a day after we decided to hold interest rates steady at 5%, Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle discusses immigration, inflation and the role that newcomers play in helping our economy grow. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
December 6, 2023 Bank of Canada maintains policy rate, continues quantitative tightening Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at 5%, with the Bank Rate at 5¼% and the deposit rate at 5%. The Bank is continuing its policy of quantitative tightening. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
November 30, 2023 CARR amends recommended fallback for CDOR NHA MBS, and publishes a guide for Canadian companies transitioning from CDOR In 2021, CARR published “Recommended fallback language for FRNs referencing CDOR” which recommended that CDOR-linked floating rate notes (FRNs), including floating rate NHA MBS, fall back from CDOR to a CORRA fallback rate (“Fallback Rate (CORRA)” as defined in the document). Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
November 29, 2023 What we heard: Bank of Canada publishes report on digital dollar consultations, outlines further engagement plans Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today published a report summarizing the feedback it has received to date about a potential digital Canadian dollar. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
November 29, 2023 A Digital Canadian Dollar: What we heard 2020–23 and what comes next This report summarizes the feedback the Bank of Canada has received to date about a potential digital Canadian dollar.
November 28, 2023 Moving money with confidence: Canada’s new regime for retail payments supervision Remarks Ron Morrow Central 1 Momentum Summit Vancouver, British Columbia Executive Director of Supervision Ron Morrow discusses the creation and coming into force of a new supervision regime to oversee retail payments. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial markets, Financial stability, Fintech
Testing Collusion and Cooperation in Binary Choice Games Staff working paper 2023-58 Erhao Xie This paper studies the testable implication of players’ collusive or cooperative behaviour in a binary choice game with complete information. I illustrate the implementation of this test by revisiting the entry game between Walmart and Kmart. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C5, C57, L, L1, L13 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market structure, Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods