March 9, 2000 The Conduct of Monetary Policy When You Live Next Door to a Large Neighbour Remarks Gordon Thiessen Canadian Society of New York New York, New York Both in Canada and elsewhere, much ink has been spilled over the past year on the pros and cons of different exchange rate regimes and the implications for monetary policy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Ecosystem Models for a Central Bank Digital Currency: Analysis Framework and Potential Models Staff discussion paper 2024-13 Youming Liu, Francisco Rivadeneyra, Edona Reshidi, Oleksandr Shcherbakov, André Stenzel This note analyzes different economic models of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) ecosystem where the central bank chooses different levels of market involvement and usage of policy levers. The analysis suggests that there are trade-offs between the costs to the central bank and its ability to achieve policy goals like universal access. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): E, E5, E58, E6, E61, L, L5 Research Theme(s): Money and payments, Digital assets and fintech, Payment and financial market infrastructures
December 6, 2007 Opening Statement before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Opening statement David Dodge Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce In Canada, we were looking for weaker economic growth in the fourth quarter of this year and the first half of 2008, but some strengthening thereafter. As you can see from Table 2, we were expecting continued strong final domestic demand throughout the projection period, but considerably weaker net exports. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
October 18, 2007 Bank of Canada releases Monetary Policy Report Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today released its October Monetary Policy Report, which discusses current economic and financial trends in the context of Canada's inflation-control strategy. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
Can the characteristics of new mortgages predict borrowers’ financial stress? Insights from the 2014 oil price decline Staff analytical note 2021-22 Olga Bilyk, Ken Chow, Yang Xu We study the relationship between characteristics of new mortgages and borrowers’ financial stress in Canada’s energy-intensive regions following the 2014 collapse in oil prices. We find that borrowers with limited home equity were more likely to have difficulty repaying debt. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): C, C2, C25, D, D1, D14, G, G2, G21, G5, G51, R, R2, R21 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Household and business credit
Should Banks Be Worried About Dividend Restrictions? Staff working paper 2023-49 Josef Schroth A regulator would want to restrict dividends to force banks to rebuild capital during a crisis. But such a policy is not time-consistent. A time-consistent policy would let banks gradually rebuild capital and pay dividends even when their equity remains below pre-crisis levels. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E1, E13, E3, E32, E4, E44 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Financial system regulation and oversight
Differentiable, Filter Free Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models Using Mixture Density Networks Staff working paper 2025-3 Chris Naubert I develop a method for Bayesian estimation of globally solved, non-linear macroeconomic models. The method uses a mixture density network to approximate the initial state distribution. The mixture density network results in more reliable posterior inference compared with the case when the initial states are set to their steady-state values. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C6, C61, C63, E, E3, E37, E4, E47 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Economic models
March 2, 2026 Canada’s monetary policy framework in a world of supply-driven trade-offs Remarks Sharon Kozicki Norges Bank Monetary Policy Mandate Conference Oslo, Norway Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki discusses the challenges of setting monetary policy in a world where supply-side developments are important drivers of inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economic models, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
Pricing behaviour and inflation during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from consumer prices microdata Staff analytical note 2024-6 Olga Bilyk, Mikael Khan, Olena Kostyshyna Using the microdata underlying the Canadian consumer price index, we study how often and by how much firms changed their prices during the COVID-19 pandemic. We find that the surge in inflation was mainly associated with retailers raising prices much more often than before. We also find that more recently, corporate price-setting behaviour appears to be approaching pre-pandemic norms. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): D, D2, D22, E, E3, E31, L, L1, L11 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting
September 28, 2009 The Three Rs: Review, Reflect, and Reaffirm Remarks Mark Carney Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce Victoria, British Columbia September is a time to review the past, reflect on the present, and reaffirm goals for the future. Like students who returned to school this month, I will follow this annual discipline today by (i) reviewing the extraordinary events of the past year; (ii) reflecting on the policy response and the current economic outlook; and (iii) reaffirming the Bank of Canada's commitment to price stability. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks