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April 10, 2024

Monetary Policy Report – April 2024

Monetary Policy Report – April
Monetary policy is working to reduce inflationary pressures and inflation is coming down, although it will take more time to see if this progress proves durable. The Bank projects that inflation will stay around 3% into the second quarter of 2024, ease below 2.5% in the second half of the year and return to target in 2025.
April 16, 2025

Monetary Policy Report—April 2025

The Canadian economy ended 2024 in a strong position. However, the trade conflict and tariffs are expected to slow growth and add to price pressures. The outlook is very uncertain because of the unpredictability of US trade policy and the magnitude of its impact on the Canadian economy.

Preferences, Monetary Policy and Household Inflation

Staff working paper 2024-45 Geoffrey R. Dunbar
I quantify the importance of changes in household preferences on household inflation rates using 11 years of scanner data for 11,000 US households. My results suggest that changes in household preferences are an important driver of inflation dynamics at the household level.
October 23, 2024

Monetary Policy Report—October 2024—Overview

Monetary policy has worked to reduce price pressures in the Canadian economy. Inflation is now around 2% and is expected to remain near the middle of the Bank of Canada’s control range of 1% to 3% over the projection.
April 29, 2026

Monetary Policy Report—April 2026

The Canadian economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace as it continues to adjust to US tariffs. Inflation has moved up due to higher oil prices linked to the war in the Middle East. It is projected to then ease back to the 2% target in 2027.
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