May 1, 2024 Opening Statement before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Commerce and the Economy Opening statement Tiff Macklem Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Commerce and the Economy Ottawa, Ontario Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
December 31, 2025 Quarterly Research Update – 2025 Q4 This newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
February 3, 2026 Research themes: Financial markets Financial markets are where savers and borrowers exchange funds. Their well-functioning is critical. This is why we study their structure, participants, regulations and how they are affected by key external changes.
June 19, 2013 Reconstruction: Rebuilding Business Confidence in Canada Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Oakville Chamber of Commerce Burlington, Ontario Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the structural damage to the Canadian economy caused by the crisis, and the need to rebuild Canada’s economic capacity and strengthen business confidence. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
March 7, 2019 Economic Progress Report: Sensible Shifts in Household Spending Remarks Lynn Patterson Hamilton Chamber of Commerce Hamilton, Ontario Deputy Governor Lynn Patterson discusses updates on the economy and reviews the latest interest rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation
October 16, 2002 Bank of Canada keeps target for the overnight rate at 2 3/4 per cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 2 3/4 per cent. The operating band for the overnight rate is unchanged, and the Bank Rate remains at 3 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
September 8, 2021 Bank of Canada maintains policy rate, continues forward guidance and current pace of quantitative easing Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at the effective lower bound of ¼ percent, with the Bank Rate at ½ percent and the deposit rate at ¼ percent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
January 22, 2008 Bank of Canada lowers overnight rate target by 1/4 percentage point to 4 per cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that it is lowering its target for the overnight rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 4 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
May 28, 2026 Financial Stability Report—2026—In focus—A financial market correction could worsen the effects of an oil shock The war in the Middle East has pushed up oil prices, putting pressure on inflation. In a situation where geopolitical tensions trigger a severe tightening in financial conditions, the resilience of the financial system could be tested.
December 9, 1994 The term structure of interest rates as a leading indicator of economic activity: A technical note Bank of Canada Review - Winter 1994-1995 Kevin Clinton The spread between long-term and short-term interest rates has proven to be an excellent predictor of changes of economic activity in Canada. As a general rule, when long-term interest rates have been much above short-term rates, strong increases in output have followed within about a year; however, whenever the yield curve has been inverted for any extended period of time, a recession has followed. Similar findings exist for other countries, including the United States. But although Canadian and U.S. interest rates generally move quite closely together, the Canadian yield curve has been distinctly better at predicting future Canadian output. The explanation given for this result is that the term spread has reflected both current monetary conditions, which affect short-term interest rates, and expected real returns on investment and expectations of inflation, which are the main determinants of long-term rates. This article is mainly a summary of econometric work done at the Bank. It also touches on some of the extensive recent literature in this area. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles