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The Bank of Canada is taking a risk-management approach to integrating financial stability concerns into monetary policy, Governor Stephen S. Poloz said today. In a speech to the meeting of the Institute of International Finance in Lima, Peru, the Governor said financial stability issues add a new dimension of risk to the many uncertainties that […]

We present a new corporate default model, one of the building blocks of the Bank of Canada’s bank stress-testing infrastructure. The model is used to forecast corporate loan losses of the Canadian banking sector under stress.

Results from the spring Business Outlook Survey suggest that business sentiment continues to improve. Firms reported less uncertainty related to the COVID-19 pandemic and strengthening demand from weak levels. Still, the recovery remains uneven, with firms tied to high-contact services facing ongoing challenges.

When it launched a new system for regularly announcing its decisions regarding the overnight rate of interest in December 2000, the Bank of Canada had a number of key objectives in mind. These included reduced uncertainty in financial markets, greater focus on the Canadian rather than the U.S. economic environment, more emphasis on the medium-term perspective of monetary policy, and increased transparency regarding the Bank's interest rate decisions. Evidence to date suggests that all four objectives have been met to a substantial degree. Fixed announcement dates have provided regular opportunities for the Bank to communicate its views on the state of the Canadian economy to the public. This has helped to improve understanding of the broad direction of monetary policy and of the rationale behind the Bank's policy decisions although the decisions themselves are not always fully anticipated.

Press conference following the release of the Financial System Review.

Options markets offer unique insights into the changing risks different assets face, which helps us better understand the broader risks to the Canadian economy. We show how option prices help reveal that investors did not anticipate large downside risks to either major Canadian banks or economic growth during the March 2023 financial sector system stress, a period when policy-makers and investors were unsure of what the future held for Canada’s economy.

In his address to the 17^th Annual Economic Forum of the Americas, Senior Deputy Governor Tiff Macklem discusses the G-20 financial reform agenda and the role of central banks in mitigating systemic risk.

The 2025 Annual Report includes the financial statements and a message from Governor Tiff Macklem.

The outlook for the Canadian economy continues to be shaped by global developments, including the realignment of world currencies. The near-term outlook for the global economy is a touch weaker than projected in the October Report, but more solidly based because of somewhat lower oil prices and greater confidence in the momentum of the U.S. economy.

Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge reviewed some of the developments that are influencing both demand and prices for Canadian goods and services in a speech today to the Conseil du patronat du Québec.