January 14, 2008 Business Outlook Survey - Winter 2007-08 Overall, firms remain positive about the outlook, with the results of the winter survey showing little change from those of the autumn survey. Nonetheless, firms reported more uncertainty in light of recent developments, most notably the volatility in the value of the Canadian dollar. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
November 8, 2023 Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of October 25, 2023 This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on October 25, 2023. Content Type(s): Publications, Summary of deliberations
July 12, 2004 Business Outlook Survey - Summer 2004 Businesses are somewhat more optimistic about the outlook than they were in the spring, reflecting increased confidence about the robustness of the global economic recovery. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
January 17, 2005 Business Outlook Survey - Winter 2004-05 Businesses remain positive about the economic outlook but less so than in the autumn survey. The appreciation of the Canadian dollar between the survey periods has heightened uncertainty among businesses and dampened the expectations of those adversely affected by the rising dollar.Supplemental questions on the appreciation of the Canadian dollar - Winter 2004-05 Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
October 8, 2004 Business Outlook Survey - Autumn 2004 Businesses remain essentially as optimistic about the economic outlook as they were in the summer survey. Although they have marked down their growth forecast for the U.S. economy, businesses expect stronger domestic demand.Supplemental questions on the appreciation of the Canadian dollar - October 2004 Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
December 8, 2015 Framework for Conducting Monetary Policy at Low Interest Rates This document outlines a series of monetary policy measures that could be deployed in a very low interest rate environment. Content Type(s): Background materials
The Trend Unemployment Rate in Canada: Searching for the Unobservable Staff working paper 2019-13 Dany Brouillette, Marie-Noëlle Robitaille, Laurence Savoie-Chabot, Pierre St-Amant, Bassirou Gueye, Elise Nelson In this paper, we assess several methods that have been used to measure the Canadian trend unemployment rate (TUR). We also consider improvements and extensions to some existing methods. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, C53, E, E2, E24, E27 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting
Price Selection Staff working paper 2018-44 Carlos Carvalho, Oleksiy Kryvtsov We propose a simple, model-free way to measure selection in price setting and its contribution to inflation dynamics. The proposed measure of price selection is based on the observed comovement between inflation and the average level from which adjusting prices depart. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E5, E51 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission
CANVAS: A Canadian Behavioral Agent-Based Model Staff working paper 2022-51 Cars Hommes, Mario He, Sebastian Poledna, Melissa Siqueira, Yang Zhang The Bank of Canada’s current suite of models faces challenges in addressing network effects that integrate household and firm-level heterogeneity and their behaviours. We develop CANVAS, a Canadian behavioural agent-based model to contribute to the Bank’s next-generation modelling effort. CANVAS improves forecasting performance and expands capacity for model-based scenario analysis. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, D, D2, D22, D8, D83, E, E1, E17 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Real economy and forecasting
July 10, 2019 Monetary Policy Report – July 2019 The Bank updated its forecast for real economic growth to 1.3 percent this year, 1.9 percent next year and 2.0 percent in 2021. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report